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UFC Fight Night 169: Benavidez vs Figueiredo Odds and Picks

UFC Fight Night 169: Benavidez vs Figueiredo

The UFC is back in Norfolk, Virginia, for the first time since November 2017 with the Octagon being set up at Chartway Arena for UFC Fight Night 169. The vacant UFC flyweight title will be on the line in the main event when Joseph Benavidez takes on Deiveson “Deus Da Guerra” Figueiredo. The former title challenger, Benavidez, is a slight -150 favorite to claim the belt with Figueiredo coming back at +120 money.

Figueiredo weighed in 2.5 lbs over the flyweight limit and therefore will not be competing for the belt, but Benavidez can still capture it if he is victorious.

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UFC Fight Night 169: Benavidez vs Figueiredo
  • Date/Time: February 29, 9 p.m. ET
  • Location: Norfolk, Virginia
  • Arena: Chartway Arena
  • Where to Watch: ESPN+

Joseph Benavidez vs Deiveson Figueiredo

A winning streak will come to an end in the main event as Figueiredo (+120) has won back-to-back fights, while Benavidez (-150) is on a three-fight winning streak. Benavidez’s streak includes two knockout stoppages over Alex Perez and Jussier Formiga, and Figueiredo is coming off a stoppage victory of his own, scoring a first-round submission triumph over Tim Elliott.

Benavidez fought longtime flyweight champion Demetrious Johnson twice, falling both times, once by knockout and once by split decision. The 35-year-old has outstanding striking defense, making his opponents miss 63 percent of their strike attempts, and he does a great job firing counters when his foes engage with him. However, he will have to contend with his opponent’s strong striking. Figueiredo lands 52 percent of his strikes, although he only averages 2.44 significant strikes per minute. He uses his height and length to keep his opponents at bay as he lands when they rush in or he makes a level change to take the fight to the floor.

Prediction: Joseph Benavidez (-150) via decision

Joseph Benavidez vs deiveson Figueiredo Betting Odds

Joseph Benavidez-150
Deiveson Figueiredo+120

Odds as of February 29 at Bovada

Felicia Spencer vs Zarah Fairn

Felicia “FeeNom” Spencer (-900) returns to the Octagon for the first time since her first pro setback, a loss via decision to Cris Cyborg last July. Looking to pile another loss onto Spencer’s record is Zarah “Infinite” Fairn (+550), who enters this bout on the heels of a defeat as well, losing by submission to Megan Anderson last October. 

Spencer showed a lot in her loss to Cyborg, surviving aggressive flurries from the former champ and landing heavy strikes of her own at times. Ultimately, she was outmatched in that bout but the world took notice of her grit, determination and heart. She has great grappling that has resulted in four of her seven wins coming by submission. Fairn prefers to keep the fight standing as she bull-rushes her counterparts throwing a flurry of punches and looking for the knockout. Of her six pro wins, four have been by knockout, though her debut loss was a submission, Spencer’s best weapon.

Prediction: Felicia Spencer (-900) via submission

Felicia Spencer vs Zarah Fairn Betting Odds
Felicia Spencer-900
Zarah Fairn+550

Odds as of February 29 at Bovada

Ion Cutelaba vs Magomed Ankalaev

After dropping his UFC debut to Paul Craig via a last-second submission, Magomed Ankalaev (-225) has rebounded to win three consecutive bouts and looks to extend that streak against Ion “The Hulk” Cutelaba (+175). The Moldova native suffered a submission loss in early 2019 but rebounded with a fantastic first-round knockout win over Khalil Rountree in September. As for Ankalaev, since his loss, he has two knockout wins – expect fireworks in this scrap.

Cutelaba is a bully in the Octagon, not giving his opponents much room to work as he takes the center of the cage and starts learning their movements. He has explosive striking, albeit sometimes a little wild. He lands just 39 percent of his strikes but also lands 5.27 significant strikes per minute. He also has good grappling, averaging 2.62 takedowns per 15 minutes. That said, due to his high output, he tends to slow after the first round, which was evident in his loss to Glover Teixeira. Ankalaev is much more patient and calmer in his approach. He lands 56 percent of his strikes while making his opponents miss 68 percent of their attempts. He also looks as fresh in the third round as he does in the first.

Prediction: Magomed Ankalaev (-225) via decision

Ion Cutelaba vs Magomed Ankalaev Betting Odds
Ion Cutelaba+175
Magomed Ankalaev-225

Odds as of February 29 at Bovada

Megan Anderson vs Norma Dumont

After beginning her UFC career on a win-one, lose-one streak through four fights, Megan Anderson (-250) eyes her first winning streak in the Octagon following her first-round submission win over Zarah Fairn last October. To achieve that, she will have to knock off undefeated Brazilian Norma “The Immortal” Dumont (+195), who is set to make her UFC debut with a perfect 4-0 record.

The Australia native, Anderson, stands six feet tall and has a 72-inch reach she uses well. She works behind her jab, before throwing her more powerful right hand. Her striking defense leaves a lot to be desired, though, as she has been outstruck in two of her four UFC fights and she absorbs 3.17 significant strikes per minute, with poor head movement and footwork. Dumont has really good kicks and a high-level submission game. Her strong kicks could be attributed to her training partner, former featherweight king Jose Aldo. This is a tough fight for her debut, though; overcoming the distance could be an issue.

Prediction: Norma Dumont (+195) via decision

Megan Anderson vs Norma Dumont Betting Odds
Megan Anderson-250
Norma Dumont+195

Odds as of February 29 at Bovada

Gabriel Silva vs Kyler Phillips

Coming off the first loss of his pro career, Gabriel Silva (-125) looks to get back on track after falling to Ray Borg last July in his UFC debut. Hoping to avoid a similar fate in his UFC debut is Kyler “Matrix” Phillips (-105), who competed in Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series in 2017 and is ready to make the jump to the Octagon.

Silva is a very patient fighter and when he does decide to engage, he doesn’t have a ton of heat behind his strikes. Despite being taken down six times by Borg, he showed a good ability to scramble and get back to his feet. Phillips is a lot more aggressive and is not afraid to let his hands fly, which was evident in his first-minute knockout over James Gray in Dana White’s Tuesday Night Contender Series. He fights a wild style with spinning kicks and grinding clinch work that is exhausting, which results in his stamina fading late in fights. That said, his power is undeniable, with four of his six pro wins coming by knockout.

Prediction: Gabriel Silva (-125) via decision

Gabriel Silva vs Kyler Phillips Betting Odds
Gabriel Silva-125
Kyler Phillips-105

Odds as of February 29 at Bovada

Here’s a look at the rest of the odds for UFC Fight Night 169: Benavidez vs Figueiredo:

Brendan Allen vs Tom Breese Betting Odds
Brendan Allen+115
Tom Breese-145

Odds as of February 29 at Bovada

Luis Pena vs Steve Garcia Betting Odds
Luis Pena-285
Steve Garcia+225

Odds as of February 29 at Bovada

Marcin Tybura vs Serghei Spivac Betting Odds
Marcin Tybura-115
Serghei Spivac-115

Odds as of February 29 at Bovada

Jordan Griffin vs TJ Brown Betting Odds
Jordan Griffin-140
TJ Brown+110

Odds as of February 29 at Bovada

Sean Brady vs Ismail Naurdiev Betting Odds
Sean Brady-105
Ismail Naurdiev-125

Odds as of February 29 at Bovada

Aalon Cruz vs Spike Carlyle Betting Odds
Aalon Cruz-200
Spike Carlyle+160

Odds as of February 29 at Bovada

Grant Dawson vs Darrick Minner Betting Odds
Grant Dawson-500
Darrick Minner+350

Odds as of February 29 at Bovada