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Holland vs Vettori Odds & Predictions: Vettori Eyes Fifth Straight Win

Marvin Vettori (right) is favored in the UFC Fight Night: Holland vs Vettori odds.

Kevin Holland and Marvin Vettori headline this week’s UFC event in UFC Fight Night: Holland vs Vettori. Darren Till was originally scheduled to oppose Vettori in the main event but Till suffered an injury and Holland stepped up on 10 days’ notice. The winner of this bout could catapult quickly into the conversation about a title shot, especially in the case of Vettori, who has won four in a row.

Looking at Holland vs Vettori odds, it is the No. 6-ranked Vettori who is the betting favorite over the No. 10-ranked Holland. We have the full UFC Fight Night: Holland vs Vettori odds and predictions below.

Vettori struggled a bit in the early stages of his UFC career, going 2-2-1 before his current four-fight winning streak. However, that final loss was a narrow split-decision defeat to the current middleweight champion, Israel Adesanya.

Holland exploded onto the scene in 2020, posting five wins, four of which were stoppages, including an impressive knockout triumph over Jacare Souza in December. “Trailblazer” lost on March 20 of this year via decision to Derek Brunson.

UFC Fight Night: Holland vs Vettori Odds

Online sportsbook Bovada has released UFC Fight Night: Holland vs Vettori odds, with Vettori listed as the -350 favorite and Holland the +265 underdog. This means you would have to wager $350 to profit $100 on a Vettori victory, while a $100 bet on a Holland win would profit you $265.

Looking at the odds for Holland vs Vettori, our sports betting calculator tells us that Vettori’s odds of -350 represent an implied win probability of 77.78 percent while Holland’s odds of +265 have an implied win probability of 27.40 percent.

The largest favorite in the UFC Fight Night: Holland vs Vettori odds comes in the main event with Vettori the -325 chalk and Holland the +250 underdog. The tightest betting line on the card comes in the light heavyweight prelim fight between Jung Da Un (-130) and William Knight (+110).

UFC Fight Night: Holland vs Vettori Odds & Fight Card


UFC Fight Night: Holland vs Vettori Odds & Fight Card
  • Main Card
  • Middleweight – Kevin Holland (+265) vs Marvin Vettori (-350)
  • Featherweight – Sodiq Yusuff (-155) vs Arnold Allen (+130)
  • Middleweight – Sam Alvey (+150) vs Julian Marquez (-185)
  • Women’s Strawweight – Nina Nunes (-140) vs Mackenzie Dern (+115)
  • Welterweight – Mike Perry (+115) vs Daniel Rodriguez (-140)
  • Prelims
  • Lightweight – Jim Miller (+200) vs Joe Solecki (-250)
  • Lightweight – Scott Holtzman (+190) vs Mateusz Gamrot (-240)
  • Lightweight – John Makdessi (+160) vs Ignacio Bahamondes (-200)
  • Heavyweight – Yorgan De Castro (-325) vs Jarjis Danho (+250)
  • Bantamweight – Hunter Azure (+150) vs Jack Shore (-185)
  • Featherweight – Luis Saldana (-140) vs Jordan Griffin (+115)
  • Light Heavyweight – Jung Da Un (-130) vs William Knight (+110)
  • Middleweight – Impa Kasanganay (-285) vs Sasha Palatnikov (+225)

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New to betting on the fights? Check out our How to Bet on the UFC guide to help you get in the action. Also, be sure to keep an eye on our UFC odds page for the latest up-to-date UFC Fight Night: Holland vs Vettori betting lines


UFC Fight Night: Holland vs Vettori Broadcast Information
  • Date/Time: April 10, 12 noon ET
  • Location: Las Vegas, Nevada
  • Arena: UFC Apex
  • Where to Watch: ABC/ESPN+

Kevin Holland vs Marvin Vettori Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Kevin Holland+265
Marvin Vettori-350

Kevin “Trailblazer” Holland (+265) gets to hop in the cage just three weeks after a defeat, a loss that snapped a five-fight winning streak. Meanwhile, this is the best run in the UFC for Marvin “The Italian Dream” Vettori (-350), picking up four wins in a row since his decision loss to Adesanya in 2018.


Holland: Need to Knows
  • As mentioned off the top, Holland had a tremendous 2020, going 5-0 with four stoppages. Overall, he is 21-6 with 17 stoppage wins (11 knockouts, six submissions).
  • Holland averages 1.08 takedowns per 15 minutes but has landed just three over his last six fights, though he did get Brunson down in their fight three weeks ago, marking the first time Brunson was taken down in the UFC. 
  • Trailblazer is very active on the feet, averaging 4.14 significant strikes per minute while only absorbing 2.58. He has a long 81-inch reach and uses it well with stiff counters when his opponents rush him or with a long jab, which he will quickly trash talk about after landing.
  • At times, he will load up entering the pocket looking for a knockout punch but can telegraph it and end up eating a heavy shot. Additionally, after getting taken down six times vs Brunson and not being able to get back to his feet, that’s an area he must work on in the future.
  • Holland’s last three fights were Charlie Ontiveros (win – knockout), Ronaldo Souza (win – knockout) and Derek Brunson (loss – unanimous decision).


Vettori: Need to Knows
  • Vettori earned stoppages in all but one of his victories outside of the UFC but in the Octagon he has finished just two of his nine counterparts. Overall, of Vettori’s 16 pro wins, 11 have been stoppages with two knockouts and nine submissions. All four of his losses have been decisions.
  • The Italian Dream is a wild man, averaging 4.78 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.19, and he has outstruck eight of his nine UFC opponents, with only Adesanya landing more. Additionally, he averages 1.33 takedowns per 15 minutes, landing at least one takedown in six of nine UFC fights.
  • Vettori almost disrespects his opponents’ power, bullying them around the cage and standing his ground when they throw strikes at him. He has great kicks, especially his body kick he looks to tickle the liver with.
  • Vettori’s last three fights were Andrew Sanchez (win – unanimous decision), Karl Roberson (win – submission) and Jack Hermansson (win – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Marvin Vettori (-350) via decision

Sodiq Yusuff vs Arnold Allen Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Sodiq Yusuff-155
Arnold Allen+130

A winning streak will come to an end when these two featherweight prospects collide. “Super” Sodiq Yusuff (-155) has picked up six straight wins since a knockout loss in 2017, while Arnold “Almighty” Allen (+130) is on a nine-fight winning streak since his decision loss in 2014.


Yusuff: Need to Knows
  • Carrying an 11-1 record into this bout, six of Yusuff’s 11 pro wins have been by knockout while his lone defeat came in the same manner. Two of his four UFC wins have also been knockouts.
  • Super has outstruck all four of his UFC opponents and he averages 6.10 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 4.06. He has not landed a single takedown in the Octagon while stuffing 72 percent of attempts against.
  • Yusuff is a bully in the cage, walking straight forward and cutting off the cage looking to let his heavy hands fly. His right hand is a piston as he throws it straight and powerfully and it is especially damaging when he uses it as a counter.
  • Although Sodiq was brought to the ground three times in his last fight vs Andre Fili, he was able to pop back to his feet quickly due to his strength.
  • Yusuff’s last three fights were Sheymon Moraes (win – unanimous decision), Gabriel Benitez (win – knockout) and Andre Fili (win – unanimous decision).


Allen: Need to Knows
  • Allen has been a decision machine in the UFC with five of his seven wins coming in that manner. Overall, nine of Allen’s 16 pro wins have been stoppages, though, with five knockouts and four submissions. His only pro loss came via a unanimous decision.
  • Almighty was outstruck in his UFC debut but has outstruck each of his six opponents since. He averages 3.19 significant strikes per minute while only absorbing two per minute. Of course, a factor in the low number of strikes absorbed is his wrestling: he averages 1.36 takedowns per 15 minutes, securing 52 percent of his attempts.
  • He has a great fight IQ, though at times he makes a good read striking but misses his target and is vulnerable to counters. That said, he has great footwork, which he uses to get out of danger quickly. Additionally, Allen consistently throws straight punches, stopping his opponents in their tracks.
  • Allen’s last three fights were Jordan Rinaldi (win – unanimous decision), Gilbert Melendez (win – unanimous decision) and Nik Lentz (win – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Arnold Allen (+130) via decision

Sam Alvey vs Julian Marquez Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Sam Alvey+150
Julian Marquez-185

Fresh off a submission win in February, Julian “The Cuban Missile Crisis” Marquez (-185) returns to the Octagon looking for a second win in 2021. His opponent, Sam “Smile’N” Alvey (+150), is looking for his first win since 2018 after going 0-4-1 in his last five and hoping a drop to middleweight will help.


Alvey: Need to Knows
  • A veteran of the Octagon, Alvey is making his 21st walk in the promotion with a record of 10-9-1, but overall he is 33-14-1 with one no contest. Of his 33 pro wins, 19 have been by knockout, while 10 of his 14 losses have been by decision.
  • Smile’N has landed exactly one takedown over his 20 UFC bouts, so don’t look for that to be his approach for this fight, and he stuffs 82 percent of takedowns against. On the feet, he averages 3.17 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.26.
  • He is a very patient fighter, almost sitting solely on a counter-strike to do his damage. He circles around the outside of the cage waiting to uncork his left hand. With this approach, Alvey loads up on his strikes so if you can draw out an attack and counter him, he gets in trouble.
  • Alvey’s last three fights were Klidson Abreu (loss – unanimous decision), Ryan Spann (loss – split decision) and Da Un Jung (split draw).


Marquez: Need to Knows
  • Marquez was sidelined for nearly three years after tearing his lat muscle in his split-decision loss to Alessio Di Chirico in July 2018. All eight of his pro wins have been stoppages with six knockouts and two submissions, while his two pro defeats were both decisions.
  • The Cuban Missile Crisis has had difficulty stuffing takedowns, getting brought to the floor 14 times in his four UFC fights, but he has two submissions over that span as he averages 3.4 submission attempts per 15 minutes.
  • Though he has good submission skills, he hasn’t secured a takedown of his own, preferring to strike. Marquez likes to move forward and exchange hands. Defense isn’t usually front of mind as he will enter the pocket with reckless abandon, believing that his chin will hold up better than his opponent’s.
  • Marquez’s last three fights were Darren Stewart (win – submission), Alessio Di Chirico (loss – split decision) and Maki Pitolo (win – submission).

Prediction: Julian Marquez (-185) via knockout

Nina Nunes vs Mackenzie Dern Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Nina Nunes-140
Mackenzie Dern+115

Returning to the Octagon for the first time since her decision loss to Tatiana Suarez in June 2019 is Nina Nunes (-140), seeking her first win since December 2018. Meanwhile, Mackenzie Dern (+115) eyes a fourth win in a row as she had an active 3-0 2020 with two submissions.


Nunes: Need to Knows
  • The reason for Nunes’ lengthy layoff was to have a child with her wife, the women’s GOAT, Amanda Nunes. Six of her 10 pro wins have been stoppages with four knockouts and two submissions, while all four of her defeats were decisions.
  • She has outstruck all but one of her seven UFC opponents, averaging 4.81 significant strikes per minute while absorbing 3.55. Nunes has landed just two takedowns over that span – clearly not her approach. She also has good takedown defense, stuffing 77 percent of attempts against.
  • In striking, Nina has a great accurate jab that she works very well behind, but she tends to work moving backward and doesn’t follow up behind the jab with a secondary strike.
  • Nunes’ last three fights were Randa Markos (win – unanimous decision), Claudia Gadelha (win – unanimous decision) and Tatiana Suarez (loss – unanimous decision).


Dern: Need to Knows
  • Dern returned from having a child as well in 2019 and suffered her first pro loss in that return but bounced back with three straight wins last year. Six of her 10 pro wins have been submissions while her lone defeat was a decision.
  • The high-level jiu-jitsu player has been working on her striking and in her last appearance, she outstruck her opponent without securing a takedown. In fact, she’s landed just five percent of her takedown attempts, scoring just one in her six-fight UFC career.
  • I’m not prepared to say that she’s a threat on the feet but she has definitely improved by leaps and bounds since her debut. She mixes in kicks and mainly sticks to straight punches. However, it is on the floor where she is most dangerous with incredible submission skills.
  • Dern’s last three fights were Hannah Cifers (win – submission), Randa Markos (win – submission) and Virna Jandiroba (win – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Mackenzie Dern (+115) via decision

Mike Perry vs Daniel Rodriguez Odds & Prediction

FighterOdds
Mike Perry+115
Daniel Rodriguez-140

Daniel “D-Rod” Rodriguez (-140) looks to return to the win column after having his nine-fight winning streak snapped in his last outing in November. “Platinum” Mike Perry (+115) is also coming off a defeat on the same card in November, his sixth loss over his last nine bouts.


Perry: Need to Knows
  • Despite his recent losing ways, Perry is always around for an exciting scrap. Of his 14 pro wins, 11 have been knockouts with three decision wins. In his seven losses, he’s only been stopped twice, once by knockout and once by submission.
  • Platinum has an iron chin that allows him to get in the face of his opponents and exchange hands. However, a seemingly new part of his game is his grappling as he had Tim Means in big trouble in the first round of their fight in November.
  • With Perry always looking for the knockout, he can be picked apart with quick straight punches as he loads up on his strikes. Additionally, he has no head movement and plants his feet as well, but because of his power, you can never count him out.
  • Perry’s last three fights were Geoff Neal (loss – knockout), Mickey Gall (win – unanimous decision) and Tim Means (loss – unanimous decision).


Rodriguez: Need to Knows
  • Rodriguez failed to win a UFC contract in his Contender Series appearance, though he got a win; he ended up fighting in the UFC seven months later regardless. Of his 13 pro wins, 11 are stoppages with seven knockouts and four submissions, while his two losses were decisions.
  • He has a high output with 7.68 significant strikes per minute, including two UFC bouts in which he racked up over 100 strikes. D-Rod also averages 1.34 takedowns per 15 minutes, securing 62 percent of his attempts.
  • The southpaw does a good job doubling up his jab before throwing a heavier hook afterward. Rodriguez also has the ability to punish his opponents if they miss on a strike, typically throwing several strong strikes on the counter.
  • Rodriguez’s last three fights were Gabriel Green (win – unanimous decision), Dwight Grant (win – knockout) and Nicolas Dalby (loss – unanimous decision).

Prediction: Daniel Rodriguez (-140) via decision

UFC Fight Night: Holland vs Vettori Best Bets

FighterOdds
Middleweight – Marvin Vettori-350
Featherweight – Arnold Allen+130
Middleweight – Julian Marquez-185
Women’s Strawweight – Mackenzie Dern+115
Welterweight – Daniel Rodriguez-140