After plenty of fun at UFC 280 over the weekend, the fight promotion returns to the Apex in Las Vegas on October 29, when featherweights Calvin Kattar (23-6) and Arnold Allen (18-1) will square off.
The showdown between Kattar, the fifth-ranked 145-pounder, and Allen, ranked sixth, will be a five-round main event at UFC Vegas 63. The prelims for that card begin at 4 p.m. ET, with the main card set to follow at 8 p.m.
Featherweight champ Alexander Volkanovski has the division’s belt tightly secured, but as he ponders a move to lightweight – he served as the 155-pound backup at UFC 280 – there’s plenty of room for movement in the middle tier of the 145-pound division. That’s where Allen and Kattar step up.
Kattar, one of the UFC’s purest, most aggressive boxers, has been in three straight violent fights vs Josh Emmett, Giga Chikadze and Max Holloway. The Massachusetts native came away with only one victory out of those three fights, cashing in as a +200 underdog vs Chikadze at UFC Vegas 46.
The 28-year-old Allen is among the UFC’s best young stars. The Englishman has made his mark with nine consecutive victories to start his career. Allen’s most recent victory over Dan Hooker at UFC London in March awoke the fight world to “Almighty” and his abilities. Allen was near even at -120 vs Hooker and finished the Aussie via first-round knockout.
These are two of the most devastating featherweights on the roster, which is why the Kattar vs Allen odds are as tight as they get.
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs Allen Odds
Sportsbook lists Allen as the -114 favorite in the Kattar vs Allen odds, with Kattar as the narrow -107 underdog. The main event features the tightest odds of the day.
The largest underdog can be found on the first fight of the night, where bantamweights Joshua Weems (+300) and Christian Rodriguez (-420) square off.
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs Allen Betting Odds & Fight Card
Odds as of October 29 at Sportsbook
Calvin kattar vs Arnold allen Odds & Pick
This will be Kattar’s fifth straight fight as an event headliner. In his last four fights, the American has alternated between the moderate favorite and the moderate underdog. He was a -240 favorite in his split-decision loss vs Josh Emmett at UFC Austin, but cashed out as the +200 ’dog in his unanimous-decision win over Chikadze at UFC Vegas 42. Kattar’s -105 status vs Allen gives him the tightest odds of his career since his matchup with Renato Moicano (-110) at UFC 223, which Kattar lost by decision.
Like Kattar, Allen has alternated between favorite and underdog status in his UFC career. He’s been in four bouts where he faced odds of -150 or tighter and won all of them. His last two fights, against Hooker (-120) and Sodiq Yusuff (+115), were easily the most notable challenges of the Englishman’s career. The 28-year-old looked up to snuff in both those bouts as he held on to his undefeated UFC record.
Our odds calculator estimates Allen’s -115 odds give him an implied win probability of 53.49 percent. That means a $10 bet on Allen pays out $18.70. For Kattar and his -105 odds, he has an implied win chance of 51.22 percent and a $10 bet on him pays out $19.52.
Pick: Kattar (-105); OVER 4.5 Rounds (-150)
Max Griffin vs Tim Means Odds & Pick
The co-main event of UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs Allen features a welterweight clash between Tim Means (32-13-1) and Max Griffin (18-9).
Pick: Griffin (-185); UNDER 2.5 Rounds (+130)
Chase Hooper vs Steve Garcia Odds & Pick
MMA prospect Chase Hooper (11-2-1) makes his return to the Octagon in a prelim featherweight fight against Steve Garcia (12-5).