With four title fights contested over the last three weeks, we return to a little bit of a normal card this weekend with likely a No. 1 contender fight between former featherweight champion Max Holloway and Yair Rodriguez.
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Rodriguez is happening Saturday at the UFC Apex Center in Las Vegas, with the prelims beginning at 1 p.m. ET. At the top of the bill in the Holloway vs Rodriguez odds, the former champ is heavily favored.
Although Holloway has lost two of his last three fights, those defeats came in razor-thin decisions to the current champ, Alexander Volkanovski. His win came over Calvin Kattar in January when he set a UFC record for most strikes landed in a fight.
Meanwhile, this marks the return to the Octagon for Yair Rodriguez, who has been inactive for over two years while dealing with a plethora of injuries. In his last appearance, Rodriguez earned a unanimous-decision win over Jeremy Stephens in a back-and-forth affair.
Holloway vs Rodriguez Odds
Online sportsbook Bovada has the Holloway vs Rodriguez betting odds with Max listed as the -700 chalk and Yair the +450 underdog option. This means that you would have to lay $700 to profit $100 with a Holloway winning bet while a $100 winning wager on Rodriguez would net you $450.
We can examine the betting odds from a different perspective with our sports betting calculator. There you can see that Holloway’s -700 odds represent an implied win probability of 87.50 percent while Rodriguez has an implied win probability of 18.18 percent based on his odds.
If you’re looking to add the biggest favorite to your card for a parlay piece or conversely the biggest underdog in the UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Rodriguez odds, you would be looking at the main event with Max the favorite and Yair the underdog. On the flip side, if you are looking to try your hand at the fight with the tightest odds, Jung Da Un is favored at -115 in the prelim light heavyweight bout over Kennedy Nzechukwu (-105).
Holloway vs Rodriguez Betting Odds & Fight Card
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Max Holloway vs Yair Rodriguez Odds & Prediction
As mentioned, Max “Blessed” Holloway (-700) had two close decision losses to Volkanovski, the second being a split which people believe he won and consequently is the uncrowned champion. As for Yair “El Pantera” Rodriguez (+450), he has been considered championship material for a while, but inactivity has stalled his career.
Prediction: Max Holloway (-700) via knockout
Ben Rothwell vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima Odds & Prediction
|Marcos Rogerio de Lima||+140|
Ben Rothwell (-170) looks to close out 2021 with two wins in the year after scoring a submission victory over Chris Barnett in May. Similarly, Marcos “Pezao” Rogerio de Lima (+140) is hoping to snap his win-one, lose-one streak he’s been on over the last 11 fights and had a win in his last outing.
Prediction: Marcos Rogerio de Lima (+140) via decision
Felicia Spencer vs Leah Letson Odds & Prediction
We haven’t seen Leah “Nidas” Letson (+265) since November 2018 due to health concerns that left her sidelined after her UFC debut. Meanwhile, Felicia “FeeNom” Spencer (-350) looks to snap her first-ever losing skid, having dropped her last two fights.
Prediction: Felicia Spencer (-350) via decision
Miguel Baeza vs Khaos Williams Odds & Prediction
On the heels of his first career loss, Miguel "Caramel Thunder" Baeza (-150) looks to get back in the win column on Saturday. Khaos Williams (+115) had a similar situation, seeing his eight-fight winning streak snapped in December of 2020 but rebounded with a win in June.
Prediction: Miguel Baeza (-150) via decision
Song Yadong vs Julio Arce Odds & Prediction
Two fighters looking for back-to-back wins will open the main card. Julio Arce (+115) had nearly 20 months off during the pandemic but returned with a knockout win in July. His opponent, Song Yadong (-140), has been more active, going 1-1 already this year and coming off a win over Casey Kenney.
Prediction: Song Yadong (-135) via decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs Rodriguez Best Bets
|Featherweight – Max Holloway||-700|
|Heavyweight – Marcos Rogerio de Lima||+140|
|Women’s Featherweight – Felicia Spencer||-350|
|Welterweight -- Miguel Baeza||-140|
|Bantamweight – Song Yadong||-140|
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