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UFC 239: Nunes vs Holm Betting Odds

UFC 239 Nunes vs Holm Betting Odds

Co-headlining the International Fight Week card UFC 239 is a bout for the women’s bantamweight title between Amanda “Lioness” Nunes and Holly “The Preacher’s Daughter” Holm. Nunes is a -360 favorite to make her third title defense with Holm coming back as a +270 underdog to reclaim the strap.

Odds Analysis

Amanda Nunes has been an underdog in five of her last seven bouts but has won each of those fights and eight in a row overall. Over that span, she closed as a -1000 favorite against Raquel Pennington and was a -115 pick‘em in her first fight with Valentina Shevchenko. Most recently, she earned a fast first-round knockout victory over Cris Cyborg to win the women’s featherweight belt at UFC 232.

Holly Holm is returning to the bantamweight division for the first time since 2017, spending some time at featherweight, including fighting Cris Cyborg for the belt but losing via unanimous decision. She knocked out Ronda Rousey at UFC 193 to win the bantamweight strap but lost in her first defense to Miesha Tate. The Preacher’s Daughter has dropped four of her last six bouts but has been favored in four of those fights.

How Will this Fight Play Out?

Both fighters are exceptional on the feet. Holm fights long, throwing kicks to keep fighters at a distance where she does very well at point fighting. Of her 12 professional wins, eight have come by knockout and she has never lost in that manner. Meanwhile, Nunes’ approach is more to back you down in a corner and let her hands fly. Twelve of her 17 pro wins have ended by knockout, but she has also lost two fights in that way.

What is somewhat underrated for both women is their ground game as Holm landed four takedowns in her last fight against Megan Anderson and Nunes averages 1.8 takedowns per 15 minutes and has three submission wins. I think if either fighter really starts gaining momentum on the feet, this fight may move to the floor.

UFC 239: Amanda Nunes vs Holly Holm Betting Odds
FighterOdds
Amanda Nunes-360
Holly Holm+270

Odds as of July 2 at Bovada

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