Charles Oliveira (left) is favored in the Oliveira vs Chandler odds.

Oliveira vs Chandler Odds & Prediction: Oliveira Favored to be Champ

A stunning moment at the conclusion of UFC 254 saw lightweight champion Khabib Nurmagomedov retain his title against Justin Gaethje but promptly retire right there in the Octagon. Now, the UFC lightweight title will be up for grabs at UFC 262 between Charles Oliveira and Michael Chandler.

UFC 262 is scheduled to take place on May 15 at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas, in front of a full crowd. Looking at Oliveira vs Chandler odds, it is the Brazilian, Oliveira, who is favored over the American.


Online sportsbook Sportsbook has released Oliveira vs Chandler odds with Oliveira set as the -130 favorite and Chandler the +110 underdog. This means you would have to wager $130 to profit $100 on an Oliveira win, while a $100 bet on a Chandler victory would profit you $110.

Oliveira vs Chandler Odds

Fighter Odds
Charles Oliveira -130
Michael Chandler +110

Odds as of May 10 at Sportsbook

Looking at the Oliveira vs Chandler odds, our sports betting calculator tells us Oliveira’s odds of -130 represent an implied win probability of 56.52 percent while Chandler’s +110 betting line has an implied win probability of 47.62 percent.

See Odds Shark’s Best UFC Sites

Not familiar with betting on the fights? Be sure to check out our MMA Fight Analysis and our How to Bet UFC betting guide to help you get in the action. Also, keep an eye on our UFC odds page for the latest up-to-date betting lines.

Oliveira vs Chandler Odds Analysis

“Iron” Michael Chandler made the move from Bellator to UFC this year in January and walked into the Octagon as a +130 underdog. The former Bellator champ cashed in for backers, stopping Dan Hooker midway through the first round to catapult into this title opportunity vs Oliveira.

Is Oliveira Priced Correctly?

Charles “Do Bronx” Oliveira made his UFC debut 11 years ago and yet he’s still just 31 years old. There were ups and downs over that span but he’s been on a tear of late, winning seven in a row, including six stoppages. However, in his last two appearances vs Kevin Lee and Tony Ferguson, he was the betting underdog in what was a step-up in competition, though he didn’t make it look as such.

Oliveira vs Chandler Prediction

Both fighters are very well-rounded with knockout power in their strikes and high-level wrestling skills. On the floor, things differ a little more as Chandler looks more for the ground-and-pound approach while Oliveira’s submission skills are off the charts.

Iron is aggressive on the feet, taking the center of the Octagon and pressuring his opponents with forward motion. However, he has a strong sense of reach and will typically stay on the outside of that, hoping that his pressure will draw an attack out of his foes so he can counter heavily, since he doesn’t have the best attacks when he has to strike first.

Is Oliveira the total package?

With over 10 years in the promotion, it’s understandable that his skills have steadily improved and it appears Oliveira has put it all together. His coming-out party was against Tony Ferguson when he scored three takedowns, the most he had landed since 2016. He also had a nasty armbar that would have made any normal person submit and he outstruck Ferguson 41-19.

Do Bronx likes getting in a war with his opponents, almost disrespecting their striking as he closes the distance and goes shot for shot, then decides whether he wants to keep it standing or take the fight to the floor. His best skills are definitely on the canvas but his diverse striking is troublesome for his opponents as well.

Oliveira vs Chandler: Final Conclusions

Oliveira will have to be careful getting in a firefight on the feet with Chandler as the former Bellator champ likely has the power advantage, which presents danger because Do Bronx has been knocked out four times. Additionally, I’m not sure that Oliveira will be able to take Chandler down, though if he does, I think he could put Chandler in trouble with his submission skills.

Ultimately, I think Do Bronx would be wise to stay on the outside with his kicks and really force Iron to make the first move and then level change to look for a takedown or counter heavily. Oliveira has more tools in the shed – I like him to be the new lightweight champ.

Prediction: Charles Oliveira (-130) via submission