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St-Pierre vs. Shields Betting Preview

If Jake Shields is such a threat to take Georges St-Pierre’s UFC Welterweight title at UFC 129, can someone tell us why the cheapest MMA odds on the champ to successfully defend are -440 at 5Dimes?

MMA fans have watched UFC Welterweight champion St-Pierre defend his title for three years now. He’s completely dominated every opponent that’s been put in front of him and seems to improve every time we see him. What’s made him great has been his ability to evolve his game to best counter his opponent’s strengths - and there’s no reason to believe things will be any different against Shields.

St-Pierre has won eight straight fights against the best that the division has to offer. He’s the most complete fighter in MMA and will have 55,000 fans behind him at UFC 129. He’s taking this fight very seriously and we expect to see an even more evolved St-Pierre against Shields.

Shields is currently on a 15-fight win streak that dates back to 2004. That streak would be a lot more impressive if he had been fighting opponents in the UFC, but Shields only has one fight in the Octagon and he wasn’t very impressive in that one.

Despite having the ability to submit the champion, we don’t think that Shields has the complete package to get the upset. He will be making a step up in competition like he’s never seen before, and the only way he could win would be to somehow get St-Pierre on his back. If you disagree and think Shields can beat St-Pierre, the 5Dimes underdog line of +350 is your best betting option.

We expect this fight to go much the way that St-Pierre’s latest fight against Josh Koscheck went down. St-Pierre will use his jab and punish Shields from a distance for the first couple of rounds. Once Shields wears down the champ will take him to the ground at will and utilize whatever ground-and-pound he feels safe doing.

St-Pierre realizes that this fight is an historical matchup that will help to solidify his legacy as one of the most important mixed martial artists in the history of the sport. We expect the best St-Pierre we’ve ever seen to show up in Toronto on April 30 and we expect him to make Jake Shields' face look like Swiss cheese before the referee or doctor stop the fight, likely in the third or fourth round.