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T.J. Dillashaw vs Henry Cejudo Betting Odds

T.J. Dillshaw vs Henry Cejudo Betting Odds

The UFC is heading back to the Honda Center in Anaheim, California in late January for UFC 233 with current bantamweight champion T.J. Dillashaw dropping down in weight to take on current flyweight champion Henry “The Messenger” Cejudo in the main event. Dillashaw looks to put an end to the flyweight division and he is a -190 favorite with Cejudo coming back at +155.

Odds Analysis

This is the fourth time in Cejudo’s nine-fight career in the UFC that he has been an underdog and he is just 1-2 in the previous three bouts. However, that one triumph came against arguably one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in UFC history in Demetrious Johnson at UFC 227. Meanwhile, Dillashaw has been favored in five of his last six scraps and is riding a four-fight winning streak, including back-to-back victories over Cody Garbrandt, the first of which he was an underdog for. This is a classic grappler vs striker matchup, which tends to favor the grappler if history tells us anything, yet it is Cejudo, the grappler, who is the dog in the bout.

Breaking down Henry Cejudo vs T.J. Dillashaw

Dillashaw (-190) is a spectacular striker who has incredible hand speed and great footwork. The 32-year-old averages 5.38 significant strikes per minute while absorbing just 2.94 significant strikes per minute, defending 66 percent of strikes against. It isn’t death by a thousand cuts by Dillashaw, as he can put you to sleep, with half of his 16 professional wins coming via T/KO. Not only does the California native have fantastic striking skills, but he stuffs 86 percent of takedown attempts, forcing his opponents to stand and trade with him.

Cejudo (+155) is an elite-level wrestler who struck gold at the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games. The Messenger has landed at least one takedown in eight of his nine bouts inside the Octagon and has multiple takedowns in five of those scraps. As is the case with most wrestlers, Cejudo has exceptional cardio and is able to keep up a frenetic pace for the duration of a full five-round bout. The California native has definitely improved his striking throughout his career and that was on full display when he knocked out Wilson Reis at UFC 215.

This may be the highest level of talent colliding in the lower weight class divisions ever. The matchmakers couldn’t have asked for a better clash of styles as you have a striker who has been able to bully his opponents, taking on an Olympic-level wrestler. Dillashaw will be the bigger man when the two enter the Octagon, however, we have never seen him at 125 pounds and could cutting that extra 10 pounds from 135 leave him depleted and not as strong? Meanwhile, if Cejudo is unable to drag Dillashaw to the mat, is he able to survive the elite-level striking? Regardless of the outcome, we are in for a treat at UFC 233.

UFC 233: T.J. Dillashaw vs Henry Cejudo Betting Odds
T.J. Dillashaw-190
Henry Cejudo+155

Odds as of November 22 at Bovada