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UFC 123 Odds Preview

If you’re looking for an underdog to bet on at UFC 123 this weekend, look no further than the main event where oddsmakers believe Lyota Machida will defeat famed gladiator Quinton “Rampage” Jackson.

Rampage, fresh off his role in the A-Team remake, is 30-8 and comes with a big +220 line against former champion Machida, who is 16-1. The Dragon will be the -280 favorite at Bovada.

Machida looked like an unstoppable force before Mauricio Rua exposed his tender chin for all to see last May. Now the Dragon has to step into the Octagon against one of the strongest hard-hitting contenders in the division. [ Odds on all UFC 123 fights ]

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The unbeatable aura that once came with Machida will have no effect against an experienced fighter like Jackson, and as long as Rampage checks Machida’s leg kicks and cuts off his space he could easily land a big shot. And with Rampage it only takes one shot.

The co-main event has upset potential written all over it as well. B.J. “The Prodigy” Penn (15-7-1) will step up to Welterweight to face Matt Hughes (45-7) for the third time. Each fighter has a win over the other, but it was Hughes who won the latest fight between the two. Sportsbook.ag has Hughes as the +150 underdog, while Penn will pay -180.

The big deciding factor in this fight is Penn’s record as a Welterweight. The only win of note as a Welterweight for the Prodigy was in the first Hughes fight back in 2004. Since then he’s lost every fight he’s had in the Welterweight division. We like Hughes with the upset decision win.

The other fight that’s getting a lot of attention on the UFC 123 card is the Lightweight matchup between Joe Lauzon (19-4) and George Sotiropoulos (12-2). Both of these fighters have looked impressive of late, and this fight has the makings of Fight of the Night honors if you can find some prop action on that.

Lauzon might be worth the 5Dimes price of +180, but the experienced and well-rounded Sotiropoulos should be able to handle anything that Lauzon can bring. There’s always a chance of an upset in MMA, but a bet against the -220 favorite Sotiropoulos in this fight would be walking on thin ice in our opinion.

Undefeated Phil Davis (7-0) will get his biggest test to date against heavy-hitting Tim Boetsch (9-2) in a Light Heavyweight fight that has Davis as a huge -600 favorite at Bovada.

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Boetsch comes with a nice +400 line, but just about everyone in MMA knows that he’s going to spend the entire fight on his back taking punishment from the NCAA Division 1 champion. Davis looks like the safest money on the UFC 123 card, and this fight is essentially a chance for him to display his ground-and-pound skills to the MMA world.