The UFC 126 fight card has a few upset opportunities for savvy MMA bettors, but the best edge is on the Rich Franklin vs. Forrest Griffin line. Even though the MMA betting line at 5Dimes is only +145 on Griffin, he will be bigger, stronger, and far more motivated than the former Middleweight champion Franklin.
Despite all that, Franklin will be a 5Dimes -165 favorite in the Octagon on Saturday night. He’s lost four of his last ten fights, and the 36-year-old is only 3-2 since leaving the Middleweight division.
He may have been able to beat fellow over-the-hill fighters like Chuck Liddell and Wanderlei Silva, but we all saw how easily he can be outworked against Vitor Belfort and Dan Henderson.
Former UFC Light Heavyweight champion Griffin knows that he needs to do more than win a split-decision over Tito Ortiz to get back into the Light Heavyweight title picture.
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He’s had over a year off to heal up an injured shoulder, and all reports are pointing to seeing the best Griffin in years showing up on Saturday night. He’s healthy and focused on getting his career going again, and he’s still only 31 years old.
The other fight that looks to be offering an edge is the Yamamoto vs. Johnson matchup. Yamamoto is a legend in Japan but has lost two of his last three fights. The 33-year-old will have his hand full in his first Octagon appearance against the 8-1 Demetrious Johnson.
There’s no bigger jump in competition in mixed martial arts than fighting in the UFC for the first time, and we’re going to find out if Yamamoto can survive in the big show.
Johnson has two wins in the WEC and has won most of his fights via submission. If his wrestling skills are enough to take down and control Yamamoto on the ground he could easily outpoint or submit his opponent. The MMA odds on Johnson are +115 at [custom:bodog-link].
The big gamble upset pick on the UFC 126 fight card is in the main event. Anderson Silva has managed to continue to win in the UFC, but his fights have not been the dominant displays they once were. Chael Sonnen beat Silva for four and a half rounds and helped to wipe away the unstoppable aura that Silva once enjoyed.
You can bet that Belfort will come to fight without fear of the champion. A Belfort upset will pay as much as +225 at 5Dimes.
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Odds Shark Staff Fri, May 20, 11:42am