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UFC 128 Betting Preview

Every now and then the UFC has a fight lined up that everyone knows will be a classic, and one of those fights is going to headline UFC 128 on March 19 in New Jersey.

The biggest prospect in MMA will get his first shot at a world title when Jon “Bones” Jones steps into the Octagon against UFC Light Heavyweight champion Mauricio “Shogun” Rua.

It’s not often that a UFC champion, who’s been considered the top Light Heavyweight for many years, is an underdog in his first title defense. But oddsmakers at Sportsbook.ag will pay as much as +185 on a bet that the champ will retain his title.

It will be Jones who will be the favorite to walk out of the Octagon as the UFC Light Heavyweight champion and the best MMA odds on that bet sits at -200 at Bovada.

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The other fight on the UFC 128 card that oddsmakers have posted odds on already is the Nate Marquardt vs. Yoshihiro Akiyama matchup. Both fighters have had a rough go of things of late and this fight will keep one of them in contention while dropping the other down to gatekeeper status at best.

Marquardt will be the heavy favorite and the best line available is at 5Dimes at -290. Akiyama will pay a tidy +250 at Bovada, but we don’t recommend a bet on “Sexyama” in this one. Marquardt should be able to run over the Japanese judo fighter and collect either a unanimous decision or a third-round submission victory.

The rest of the betting lines for the UFC 128 card have not been posted yet, but two fights will be worth taking a look at once the lines are up. The Urijah Faber vs. Eddie Wineland fight should be a safe-money wager for bettors that like Faber. He’s on a quest for the UFC Bantamweight championship and will be very motivated to get past Wineland.

Unless the MMA odds are over -350, a bet on Faber will be the wise choice. But even if the Faber bet is more expensive, the underdog line on Wineland will need to pay out more than +300 to even consider the upset bet.

The fight that should be the safest money on the card is the Jim Miller vs. Kamal Shalorus battle. Miller has only lost to Frank Edgar and Gray Maynard in 21 fights and shocked MMA fans with a knee-bar submission win over then No.1 contender Charles Oliveira his last time out.

Kamal Shalorus, although undefeated, has only nine pro MMA fights and is not ready for what Miller will do to him on the ground.