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UFC 133 Betting Preview

Can Tito Ortiz beat the odds and shock the MMA world again? He’ll get his chance this Saturday night against Rashad Evans at UFC 133.

Former UFC Light Heavyweight Ortiz steps into the Octagon on short notice as a replacement for the injured Phil Davis only five weeks after his shocking upset over highly ranked prospect Ryan Bader at UFC 132. Dana White has stated that a win will vault Ortiz back into the top three in the division, and Rashad Evans might be the perfect opponent for him to do it.

Ortiz and Evans fought to a draw four years ago. Tito would have won the fight had he not been penalized a point for holding on to the Octagon cage. But the UFC 133 betting lines have Evans as the heavy favorite. 5Dimes is offering Evans at -410 while an Ortiz upset will pay +330. The new healthy Ortiz has already paid out big once, and we think he’s worth the risk again at +330.

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The other action that jumps out on the UFC 133 fight card is the 5Dimes -120 line on Johnny Hendricks over Mike Pierce. 5Dimes has Pierce at EVEN, which doesn’t seem right. Both are wrestlers and Hendricks is the better one; looks like value to us.

We also like the cost on Rory MacDonald over Mike Pyle. 5Dimes has the much improved Canadian as the -280 favorite, which we think is a bargain against the 35-year-old Pyle. Look for a MacDonald submission win in the second or third round.

Finally there might be an edge in the UFC 133 betting lines on Brian Ebersole over Dennis Hallman. 5Dimes has Ebersole as a +105 underdog, while most other books have him at EVEN or favored. He should be able to control the 35-year-old Hallman with his wrestling skills and take a unanimous decision victory. If you disagree and like Hallman’s experience instead, 5Dimes will pay -125 on him to win