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UFC 200: Prop Bets That Offer The Best Value

UFC 200 is massive. So massive, that you shouldn’t possibly limit yourself to straight-up wagers. Luckily, books have posted huge lists of prop bets for you to peruse.

However, if you don’t have time to scour the list of props for the event we’ve done the work for you. Here are the props that offer you the best value for UFC 200.

Brock Lesnar Wins By KO/TKO (+230)

If Brock Lesnar wants to win this fight he needs it to go to the mat because there is no way that he is out-striking Mark Hunt. With that being said, if Lesnar can get it to the ground his game plan will be very simple – punch Hunt a lot.

Hunt has been involved in some brutal slugfests without getting knocked out, but it’s the ref that could be calling for the bell. If Lesnar can get the bout to the ground he will just throw a barrage of punches at Hunt and that could mean the TKO victory for the former champ.

Amanda Nunes Wins in Round 1 (+650) or Round 2 (+1000)

Amanda Nunes is a monster, but this monster gets gassed way too easily. ‘The Lioness’ has a technically beautiful striking game – with a particularly nasty leg kick – and a black belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu. Nine of Nunes’ career wins are in the first round, but she has a record of 4-4 once the first five minutes are over.

Nunes looked much better in the second round of her last bout against Valentina Shevchenko, but got beat up pretty bad in the third. If Nunes plans to win she will need to do it early – or else…

Miesha Tate Wins in Round 3 (+600) or Round 4 (+750)

Survival and tenacity have defined Miesha Tate’s career. ‘Cupcake’ has been beaten and battered many times in the cage, but she is always moving forward. Look at her last fight, as Tate picked up a fifth-round submission over Holly Holm – in a fight that very well could’ve gone against her or have been a draw.

If this bout makes it past the first 10 minutes, Nunes will likely gas. Not only that, but Tate is the rare breed of fighter that does better as a bout goes on. Tate will find a hole to exploit – she almost always does – especially against a tired Nunes.

Jose Aldo Wins By Points (+280) OR Frankie Edgar Wins By Points (+210)

I know this is sort of a cop-out. This fight is almost too close to call and books know that, as both Jose Aldo and Frankie Edgar are minus money SU. The general consensus is that this fight is going the distance, however, taking the OVER 4.5 rounds has even less value at -140 than a SU wager. If you have a strong leaning for either of these fighters you will find much more value this way.

Jose Aldo has been finished just once in 27 professional fights – though that stoppage did come in just 0:13 to Conor McGregor. Since joining the UFC, Aldo has won five of his eight bouts by five-round decision. On top of that, Edgar has never been finished in his professional career.

Enrique Marin Win By Submission (+650)

Here comes the part in which we poke holes in Sage Northcutt’s game. Northcutt has drawn ire from many for being pushed incredibly young and his age was evident when Bryan Barberena submitted him. It is clear Northcutt is not familiar with being on the ground and – to be honest – I highly doubt that has changed.

Enrique Marin has picked up five of his eight career victories via submission. Though he has also lost two by tapping, Marin has zero threat on the ground from Northcutt. Marin’s path to victory is through the submission and that just happens to be Northcutt’s weakness.