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UFC 200: Why Frankie Edgar Beats Jose Aldo

Two of the best fighters on the planet today square off with the UFC Interim Featherweight title on the line. Jose Aldo and Frankie Edgar meet at UFC 200 in a highly anticipated rematch - their first bout saw Aldo win by unanimous decision. 

Though both men can claim to be one of the best pound-for-pound fighters in the UFC today, Toms River native Frankie Edgar will be carrying gold by Sunday. If you have any doubt as to why, here are three reasons Edgar defeats Aldo at UFC 200.

The Mark Henry Factor

Mark Henry is one of the best striking coaches in the world and he has such a unique way of preparing his fighters. Henry studies tape obsessively and dissects everything from practices to sparring to actual fights. Unlike the first time Aldo and Edgar fought, Henry will have five rounds of footage to pick apart to determine the best striking strategy for Frankie.

From a personal viewing, you can tell that Edgar found more success against Aldo later in the fight when he began to push forward more. ‘The Answer’ has always been one of the best lateral movers in the game, but that caused him to circle into a lot of punches and leg kicks from Aldo.

I imagine that Henry devises a much better game plan on the feet for Edgar in this one, which will ultimately prove to be the biggest factor in this bout.

Wrestling Pedigree

Frankie Edgar was a wrestler. I say ‘was’ because his number of takedowns have decreased over time while his striking proficiencies have increased. That does not mean that Edgar is still not a fantastic wrestler, but he has adopted a style of fighting that involves level changes to threaten the takedown to open up more areas for his striking.

Aldo is a fantastic defensive wrestler and Edgar is the only opponent to ever take the Brazilian down twice in a single fight. Though Edgar has primarily become a striker, he needs his wrestling game to be a threat to truly open his full striking arsenal.

The key for Edgar to properly implement his wrestling ability will be drawing the counter strike from Aldo. ‘Scarface’ is a counter-striker – aside from his deadly leg kicks – which means that Edgar should use his excellent wrestling pedigree to draw a strike from Aldo to set himself up.

Where is Aldo’s Head At?

Jose Aldo’s veil of invincibility has been lifted after getting knocked out by Conor McGregor in just 0:13. There is no doubt a loss like that affects a fighter – and anybody that says otherwise is lying.

That doesn’t necessarily mean that Aldo is worse for losing to McGregor. A loss like that can either propel a fighter to new heights or it can be the catalyst to a rapid fall from grace.

Edgar himself pointed this out by saying “I think [Aldo is] trying to talk himself up. After a devastating loss like that, I know his confidence can’t be too high, and sometimes, they say, you keep telling yourself these affirmations and it comes true.”

We can’t know for sure where Aldo’s head is at heading into UFC 200, but we know Edgar will be entering with his typical demeanor and mentality.

This fight should be a barnburner, but Joe Osborne thinks it is going to go Aldo's way. Here is why he sees the Brazillian recapturing the gold. 

UFC 200: Jose Aldo vs Frankie Edgar II

Odds as of July 9 Bovada

  • Jose Aldo +100
  • Frankie Edgar -130