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UFC 202: Why Diaz Beats McGregor … Again

The MMA world is embroiled in a debate over whether Conor McGregor or Nate Diaz will win their massive rematch at UFC 202. Well, I’m here to tell you that Diaz is going to win yet again.

If you have any doubts, here are a few – of the many – reasons why Nate Diaz will beat Conor McGregor at UFC 202.

Diaz Has A Huge Physical Advantage

McGregor can dominate his opponents at 145 lbs as the Irishman is massive for a featherweight. McGregor had always had the reach advantage at featherweight – by upwards of eight inches – but Diaz is just a much bigger human being.

Diaz will enter the octagon with a two-inch reach advantage, a three-inch height advantage and likely a decent weight advantage. If you go back to the first fight between these two, you will see just how often McGregor is swinging wildly at the air and coming nowhere near hitting Diaz – especially with the left cross he insisted on using endlessly.

Diaz is a long and lanky individual, which limits one of McGregor’s biggest strengths when he fights at 145 lbs. The Stockton native has fought multiple times at welterweight – with proven results – but McGregor has yet to prove that he can carry that much weight and be successful.

You Simply Can’t Knock out Diaz

McGregor has picked up 17 of his 19 career victories via KO or TKO. ‘The Notorious One’ can land a one-hitter quitter at 145, but guys who routinely fight at 155 or 170 are more accustomed to taking heavy shots.

Diaz has been knocked out exactly once in his 29 professional fights – against Josh Thompson in April 2013. Diaz has been in the Octagon with the likes of Rafael dos Anjos, Rory MacDonald and Donald Cerrone and none of those guys were able to finish the Stockton native.

The first fight gave an insight into what happens to McGregor if he can’t truly wobble his opponent. The Irishman just kept throwing haymaker after haymaker in the hopes that Diaz would go down, but he simply could not put him away. This emptied McGregor's gas tank and Diaz was able to easily dispatch the Irishman. 

Diaz Can Last Longer

Because Diaz has an iron chin and ridiculous cardio – you’ll hear about how he competes in triathlons about 15 times during the broadcast – he has a proven track record of going deep into fights. Diaz has made it to the judges' scorecards in 10 of his past 18 fights – one of which was a five-round affair against Benson Henderson.

McGregor has gone the distance just once in his career – which was only a three-round bout. In fact, that was the only bout in the Irishman’s career that went past the first two rounds. In addition – McGregor is going to be carrying the extra weight that zapped his cardio in his first fight with Diaz.

If McGregor can’t finish Diaz early – which is almost assured given Diaz’ proven track record – then he starts getting into areas he has never been before. Diaz relishes wearing down his opponents and will likely take charge if this fight gets past the first 10 minutes.

Joe Osborne doesn't seem to agree with my logic and is taking Conor McGregor to beat Nate Diaz. Check out his reasons why right here.

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