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UFC 205: Prop Bets That Offer Best Value

UFC 205 is one of the biggest events in MMA history. And with an event of this magnitude, you shouldn’t be limiting yourself to straight-up wagers. Luckily, books have posted massive lists of props for you to peruse.

If you don’t have time to spend poring over this huge list of props, we’ve done the work for you. Here are the prop bets that offer the best value for UFC 205.

Khabib Nurmagomedov Wins Via Decision (+131)

I love Khabib more than most, but expecting him to stop Michael Johnson would be foolhardy. Nurmagomedov is an obnoxiously strong wrestler who strives at controlling his opponents and physically dominating them for 15 minutes. Since joining the UFC, he has won via decision in four of his seven fights. Those three stoppage wins have come against the likes of Darrell Horcher and Kamal Shalorus.

Johnson is better than many of Khabib’s previous wins and he is certainly not likely to get finished like the scrubs listed above. If Khabib wins, he wins by decision. And considering that taking Khabib straight up is currently -300, taking him via decision at +131 is an attractive line.

Yoel Romero Wins In Round 1 (+700)

Yoel Romero comes out of the gate like a drag racer, as the 39-year-old knows that his cardio is lacking. The ‘Soldier of God’ has the ability to knock out any opponent with one shot, as he has crazy power and speed in his hands. Romero has won nine of his 11 career victories via knockout, including four in the first round.

Knocking out Chris Weidman is not an easy feat to accomplish, as some of the heaviest hitters in the division have never managed to put the ‘All-American’ away. However, he has been out for nearly a year and has always been hittable in the striking game. A quick, flash KO is not out of the question with Romero’s power and knowledge that he is better off ending the fight early.

Tyron Woodley Wins via Knockout (+300)

Getting your hands on Stephen Thompson has been next to impossible, but if Tyron Woodley is going to beat Wonderboy, he will need to accomplish what few others have. ‘The Chosen One’ is incredibly explosive and is great at closing the distance between him and his opponent in rapid fashion.

Breaking through the outer perimeter of Wonderboy’s range will be critical, as the striker excels at finding the perfect distance to land his lethal kicks. Though his kicks are quick, if Thompson wants to throw his back leg, it takes slightly longer than someone in a more traditional stance. This extra second could be all Woodley needs to close the gap and land the KO shot.

Conor McGregor Wins in Round 1 (+275) oR Round 2 (+575)

Mystic Mac is back and he is predicting a first-round knockout of Eddie Alvarez. McGregor has always loved calling his shots and he has proven that leveling an opponent within the first five minutes isn’t out of the realm of possibility. Twelve of the Notorious One’s career victories have come via first-round knockout.

If you want to be more reserved like Conor’s coach John Kavanagh, you can take McGregor to win in the second round for an even better line. Of McGregor’s 23 pro fights, he has collected 18 wins within the first 10 minutes. McGregor will enter the night as the favorite, but you can be getting at least 2-to-1 odds if you back a quick knockout capping the event.

Eddie Alvarez Wins Via Submission (+415)

Speaking of predictions, let’s get Alvarez’ take on his fight win McGregor. Alvarez told Fox Sports that “I can see [the fight] ending much like the [Nate] Diaz fight where I land the heavy shot and then I finish with a submission.”

Alvarez is not a submission expert by any stretch of the imagination, but he does hold seven career victories via sub. Though he hasn’t scored a submission win since 2010, Alvarez has the right game plan in his head if he is going to win via sub in this outing.

Alvarez could wear McGregor out (whether that is with a big shot or his suffocating grappling), get the Irishman to the ground and exploit a tired opponent in an area he has a distinct advantage in. On top of that, all three of Conor’s pro losses have come via submission.