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Three Best Value Bets For UFC 222

UFC 222 is a card filled with competitive, tightly contested fights – the main event notwithstanding. Which means that betting on this PPV is a challenge for most. Don’t worry, I’m here to bring you some of the best value bets you can make for this Saturday’s UFC 222 event.

Cyborg To Win In Round 2 (+250)

We all know that Yana Kunitskaya has approximately 0.001% chance of beating Cyborg – and that includes oddsmakers. That’s why Cyborg is going to be one of the biggest favorites in UFC history when she steps inside the Octagon.

We also know that – in all likelihood – Cyborg is going to knock Kunitskaya’s head off at some point. But the real way to make money is figuring out when.

Cyborg is not the balls-to-the-wall, aggressive fighter that she once was. Don’t get me wrong, she is still a finisher with the capability of ending any opponent at any moment. But Cyborg has become more patient and methodical in her striking, allowing her to fully maximize her hand speed and power.

Expect Cyborg to piece up Kunitskaya through the first round while figuring out her opponent’s timing – “Foxy” has a unique striking style that may take a couple of minutes for Cyborg to fully unravel. However, after the first round, Cyborg will quickly start hammering the overwhelmed Russian in the second and finish it in dominant fashion. 

MacKenzie Dern To Win Inside The Distance (-160)

MacKenzie Dern makes her highly anticipated UFC debut against Ashley Yoder – in what should be a freebie for the Brazilian jiu-jitsu ace. However, taking Dern straight up is way too chalky, so you should look to take the 24-year-old to win by stoppage.

Obviously, Dern is one of the best submission grapplers in MMA today and can easily overwhelm an opponent whose typical path to victory is her submission game. And though Dern doesn’t have the prettiest striking style around, she is one of the few strawweights who has legitimate pop in her hands.

Yoder simply does not have an answer to the tools that Dern presents in this matchup. It’s only a matter of time before the referee is pulling Dern off a beaten Yoder.   

Best Underdog Bet Of UFC 222: Bryan Caraway (+135)

In case you forget who Bryan Caraway is, the former Mr. Miesha Tate is 6-2 since joining the UFC with four of those victories coming via stoppage. Time and time again, Caraway has been overlooked during his UFC tenure – he is 4-1 in his last five fights as an underdog – but he has always been one of the toughest outings in the division.

Why is Caraway an underdog to an unranked fighter? Because he has fought once since the beginning of 2016. Ring rust is a thing, though maybe not as big of a thing as some would have you believe. Cody Stamann, whom Caraway is fighting, has been all right during his short tenure with the company but has not faced anyone on the level of “Kid Lightning.”

This is just too much too soon for Stamann and bettors should capitalize on oddsmakers’ short attention spans.

You can check out my full breakdown of the UFC 222 main card here, including predictions for every fight. 

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