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UFC 239: Shahbazyan vs Marshman Odds, Preview and Pick

Christian Pina is a professional sports bettor and host of InsideVegas on the Sports Gambling Podcast Network as well as a contributor for CP Sports. He has provided a breakdown and pick for UFC 239. 

Edmen Shahbazyan (-650) vs Jack Marshman (+425)

Jack Marshman (23-8) is something of an enigma. Many people may not know this, but he’s not a full-time UFC fighter – he’s actually a full-time paratrooper for the British army and has been for 12 years. Marshman set the world on fire in his early UFC career only to drop his next three fights before a victory last time out against John Phillips.

Marshman has some of the heaviest hands in the division, but this is a tough style matchup for him and he’s on the verge of being 3-4 in the UFC, although he has announced he is leaving the army to focus on MMA full time.

Edmen Shahbazyan (9-0) is a talented knockout artist who enjoys finishing fights early. Eight of his nine wins have come via first-round knockout – he was able to stop Antonio Jones on Contender Series in 40 seconds and needed just 38 seconds to finish Charles Byrd last time out.

To put it clearly, Shahbazyan has been flawless since his debut, but he will need to watch out for those heavy hands for all 15 minutes of action against Marshman. The good news for him is he has more paths to victory. Shahbazyan showed in his decision victory, sandwiched between knockouts, that he’s not a one-trick pony who needs a knockout to win. In that fight, he was able to adapt to the situation and use his wrestling game to get the job done.

Marshman just doesn’t have the tools to win a wrestling match with Shahbazyan as his takedown defense is shaky at best. That being said, these fighters have a pretty similar style and like to march forward with dirty boxing and technical striking, so Shahbazyan needs to be willing to adapt on the fly again should Marshman start to get going on the feet.

Shahbazyan may need a round to understand what his game plan should be, but he should play it safe, using relentless pressure and takedowns and sit in top position for a dominant decision, rather than playing with fire striking with Marshman.

Edmen Shahbazyan via decision

UFC 239: Edmen Shahbazyan vs Jack Marshman Betting Odds
Edmen Shahbazyan-650
Jack Marshman+425

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada