It's time for some UFC 312 parlay picks with the big fights just days away.
I've got both champs -- Dricus Du Plessis and Zhang Weili -- to retain their belts in the main and co-main events. Admittedly, this card marks one of the worst pay-per-views of all time. There are no ranked fighters outside the title fights, but I won't whine and complain. There's still money to be made with UFC 312 parlays.
Here are my three UFC 312 parlays for Feb. 8 in Sydney, Australia.
UFC 312: Main Event Parlay (+186)
- Dricus Du Plessis (-210)
- Zhang Weili (-110)
Weili's odds journey from -170 chalk to pick'em makes this parlay instantly worth it if you're as big a believer in her as I am. I understand Suarez's wrestling is extremely dangerous (some call her the female Khabib), but she offers next to nothing in the stand-up game and will have to rely on top control or a submission to pull this off. Weili is too strong to let Suarez run the show for five rounds.
In the main event, Du Plessis is a solid pick to win his rematch against Strickland at UFC 312, thanks to his confidence, technical growth, and dominant past performances against top-tier opponents like Adesanya and Whittaker.
UFC 312: Main Card Madness (+276)
- Jake Matthews (-220)
- Tallison Teixeira (-138)
- Dricus Du Plessis (-210)
We know the deal with Dricus, so let's add two more fellas into this parlay.
Teixeira is a towering presence at 6-foot-7, standing seven inches taller than Tafa and boasting a staggering nine-inch reach advantage. With those physical metrics, Teixeira is likely to land first in most exchanges, which spells trouble for Tafa. While Tafa has undeniable power, he’s likely to absorb plenty of shots before he can close the distance and unleash it.
And for our last leg, Matthews outclasses opponent Francisco Prado across the board, with a positive striking differential, better wrestling, and far superior takedown defense. Matthews is exciting and a crowd favorite, meaning he's ready to start the main card with a bang.
UFC 312 Parlay: Rounds, Rounds (+217)
- Du Plessis/Strickland OVER 2.5 (-370)
- Jenkins/Santos UNDER 2.5 (+150)
Listen, I'll eat my hat if DDP vs Strickland ends UNDER 2.5 rounds. That must mean Strickland KO'd Sean because, frankly, Strickland is incredibly difficult to hit standing up, and DDP had brutal luck trying that at UFC 297.
As far as Jack Jenkins vs Gabriel Santos, I anticipate a stoppage. Jenkins impressed in his last fight with sharp boxing and vicious leg kicks, stopping Herbert Burns in the third round, but his takedown defense remains a concern. Santos, fresh off a well-rounded decision win over Yizha, has the wrestling and submission skills to neutralize Jenkins’ striking, making the under a smart play in this matchup.