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If you’re planning on being awake at an ungodly hour this weekend, be sure to tune into UFC Fight Night 111 live from Singapore. The main card is full of intrigue including the main event between a slumping Holly Holm and former title challenger Bethe Correia.

Holly Holm vs Bethe Correia

Holm (-550) is at her best when she can dictate the space and pace of a fight. The former pro boxer is great at picking away at her opponent from a distance thanks to her clean, smooth footwork. Though boxing was her first sport, Holm has done a great job adding kicks to her repertoire with the infamous Jackson-Wink oblique kick playing an important part. At this distance, “The Preacher’s Daughter” tends to throw a steady diet of lefts and wait for her opportunity to counter. Holm is much more comfortable at range. When a fight gets dirty or she tries to move forward, the former bantamweight champion is much more hittable.

In terms of grappling, Holm isn’t a world-beater. She has good defensive wrestling to keep the fight standing and she is proficient in the clinch. She will occasionally land an opportunistic takedown but she doesn’t have the skills to do much with it.

Correia (+375) is a solid striker who has constantly worked to overcome her athletic limitations. Though she doesn’t have fast feet or hands, “Pitbull” has done a good job polishing her footwork and technical striking acumen over time. That being said, Correia prioritizes output and volume in the stand-up game. She knows how to mix up her combinations, flowing from one strike to the next in order to overwhelm her opponent. Correia is actually an adept counter striker when she wants to be and has gotten better at controlling space.

There isn’t much to speak about in Correia’s game aside from her striking. She has great takedown defense, only being taken down twice in seven career UFC bouts. Rarely will Correia shoot for a takedown and she doesn’t offer much on the mat in either the top or bottom position.

This striking battle has one of two outcomes in my mind. Outcome number one; we see Holm and Correia stay patient, wait for counter opportunities and it ends up being a relatively boring affair. Outcome number two; someone gets their bell rung off a counter when they try and push forward, ultimately leading to a TKO.

Other Notable Fights

Andrei Arlovski (+195) once again finds himself as a possible stepping-stone for a younger fighter, this time against Marcin Tybura (-250). Arlovski is on a four-fight losing streak entering this match, all of which have come by stoppage. “The Pit Bull” is one of the all-time heavyweight greats; age is catching up to him. He still has plenty of speed and power in his strikes, especially with his right hand. Arlovski is here to knock people out and can get himself into firefights that his chin can no longer sustain. Tybura is a well-rounded, technical fighter who can compete in all facets of the game. He has a good kick-based striking attack and pushes a good pace without putting himself in too much danger. The Pole is at his best when he can get a hold of his opponent and start his suffocating chain wrestling

Former lightweight champion Rafael dos Anjos (-280) will be welcomed to the welterweight division by Tarec Saffiedine (+220) in the first fight on the main card. RDA’s cut down to 155 lbs was torture to his body and she should find himself much more comfortable at 170. Dos Anjos is mainly a pressure fighter who excels at dictating the pace of the fight. His footwork helps him cut off the cage and suffocate his opponent. Once his opponent his backed onto the cage, RDA either blitzes with heavy hands or grinds out a takedown. On the mat, dos Anjos is an expert at passing guard and beating up opponents. Saffiedine is a striker by trade who looks to keep his distance. “Sponge” can switch stances seamlessly and loves to chew opponents up with his kicks. He prefers to avoid the pocket, wanting to stay outside, and can be tripped up by pressure fighters getting in his face. Saffiedine isn’t much of a grappler but has strong defensive wrestling and some sharp strikes in the clinch.

UFC Fight Night 111: Holly Holm vs Bethe Correia Betting Odds
  • Holly Holm -550
  • Bethe Correia +375
Odds as of June 16 at [custom:bodog-link]
  • Andrei Arlovski +195
  • Marcin Tybura -250
  • Dong Hyun Kim +250
  • Colby Covington -325
  • Tarec Saffiedine +220
  • Rafael Dos Anjos -280
  • Takanori Gomi +230
  • Jon Tuck -300
  • Cyril Asker +260
  • Walt Harris -340
  • Alex Caceres -300
  • Rolando Dy +230
  • Justin Scoggins -500
  • Ulka Sasaki +350
  • Li Jingliang -450
  • Frank Camacho +325
  • Kwan Ho Kwak -125
  • Russell Doane -105
  • Naoki Iniue -300
  • Carls John De Tomas +230
  • Ji Yeon Kim +110
  • Lucie Pudilova -140