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UFC Fight Night: Werdum vs Tybura Betting Odds and Preview

The UFC takes the Octagon to Sydney, Australia for the first time in three years for UFC Fight Night 121 this weekend. The main event features a heavyweight scrap between former champion Fabricio Werdum and up-and-comer Marcin Tybura.

Though the card is not the best on paper, it features some interesting names such as Dan Kelly, Alexander Volkanovski and Will Brooks.

Fabricio Werdum vs Marcin Tybura

Werdum (-365) is one of the best BJJ practitioners in heavyweight history. His skills in the guard are near the apex of the sport today and he can easily glide between positions. There is no understating how good Werdum truly is once he gets hold of his opponent. Though his wrestling skills are not elite, Werdum has put work into integrating takedown attempts more smoothly into his striking offense.

“Vai Cavalo” has rounded out his game well since starting as a pure grappler. His striking style is based on aggression and his jab. Werdum will constantly pump the jab at his opponent while walking them down. The former champion can do this thanks to his massive frame and length. That being said, he can be dragged into slugfests, which is the type of fight Werdum should be avoiding.

Tybura (+275) is the type of fighter who likely won’t wow many viewers but his complete package of skills makes him a tough opponent. The Pole’s top attribute is his grappling, as he has an aggressive, strike-heavy guard attack. Tybura moves surprisingly well between positions once he gets top control – while also having a knack for taking the back.

“Tybur” is a solid striker who owns a nice arsenal of strikes. Though many of his knockout victories have come due to ground and pound, Tybura proved in his bout vs Viktor Pesta that he is capable of rendering his opponent unconscious with a head kick. We have also seen him improve defensively but that deteriorates when he’s tired.

Tybura is a good fighter – one certainly worth a top-10 ranking in the heavyweight division. However, is he on the same level as the truly elite Werdum?

Other Notable Fights

What could be a fun welterweight contest between Tim Means (-235) and Belal Muhammad (+185) is an overlooked fight on this card. Means is a lanky, mean fighter who loves to push an aggressive style of striking. “The Dirty Bird” wants to pressure his opponent against the cage and clinch up, so he can use his lanky frame to land devastating strikes. Muhammad is also a striker by trade but prefers to fight at range. “Remember The Name” (one of the worst nicknames around) is crisp in his striking and has some very good speed in which he rattles off his attacks.

Down on the prelims, former Bellator standout Will Brooks (-500) looks to get his career on the right track against Nik Lentz (+350). “Ill Will” is an athletic, technical striker who has all the technical facets of the game to win in every area. He is a good striker and is excellent once he can get his opponent in the clinch. However, if Brooks gets his back on the mat, he can be in trouble. Lentz is competent technically but is a grinder. “The Carny” wants to chain wrestle and be constantly moving on the mat. His standup game is below average but not a massive detriment.

UFC Fight Night 121 Werdum vs Tybura Betting Odds
  • Fabricio Werdum -365
  • Marcin Tybura +275
Odds as of November 15 at Bovada
  • Bec Rawlings -160
  • Jessica-Rose Clark +130
  • Tim Means -235
  • Belal Muhammad +185
  • Jake Matthews -150
  • Bojan Velickovic +120
  • Elias Theodorou -260
  • Dan Kelly +200
  • Alexander Volkanovski -600
  • Shane Young +400
  • Ryan Benoit -260
  • Ashkan Mokhtarian +200
  • Nik Lentz +350
  • Will Brooks -500
  • Rashad Coutler +145
  • Tai Tuivasa -175
  • Damien Brown +105
  • Frank Camacho -135
  • Alex Chambers +130
  • Nadia Kassem -160
  • Jenel Lausa +270
  • Eric Shelton -360
  • Anthony Hamilton +130
  • Adam Wieczorek -160