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UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs Ortega Betting Odds and Preview

The year-end cavalcade of UFC events continues when the company takes up residence in the Save Mart Center in Fresno, California on December 9. The main event sees Brian Ortega put his undefeated professional record on the line against Cub Swanson – with both men knocking on the door of a title shot.

The rest of the card is likely to be overlooked by casual fans but plenty of action fighters and fun matchups make this a sneaky-good card.

Cub Swanson vs Brian Ortega

Cub Swanson (-115) has a smooth and fundamentally sound striking base, but he supplements that with some flashy techniques. Swanson loves to remain unpredictable in the striking game by constantly feinting and faking. When you boil it all down, “Killer Cub” is a volume-based boxer who will throw some good kicks to mix it up.

Swanson’s wrestling isn’t especially great, but he has no problem whatsoever fighting from the ground. The BJJ black belt is constantly moving and angling for submission attempts if a fight takes to the mat and he has recorded seven victories via submission. However, this sometimes leaves him exposed, as five of his seven career losses have come via sub.

Brian Ortega (-115) is an aggressive, forward-moving striker who is built to pressure opponents. His technique is still raw – though it’s becoming more refined every time we see him – but he pressures exceptionally well with his feet, keeping his opponent moving back. “T-City” has pop in his hands and will gladly brawl but his lack of technique makes him hittable.

The real reason Ortega can move forward on the feet is due to his grappling skills. He is not a good wrestler but he is one of the most lethal fighters in the division working from the guard. Ortega might actually prefer if an opponent takes him down, so he can work his exceptional submissions from the back.

This is an interesting fight between two fighters with a lot of similarities in their styles. Both Swanson and Ortega prefer to box while moving forward and are excellent ground practitioners despite the lack of a strong wrestling game.

Other Notable Fights

The main card also features a fascinating bantamweight clash between Marlon Moraes (-155) and Aljamain Sterling (+125). Moraes is one of the best Muay Thai strikers in the division and will look to work almost exclusively from distance. The usage of leg kicks is key, as he loves to chip away at his opponent’s base but doing so against a wrestler like Sterling is risky. Aljo was a collegiate wrestler who enters the Octagon looking to bring his opponent to the ground and stretch them in uncomfortable ways. That being said, taking Moraes to the ground with his mastery of distance is not easy.

The official co-main event pits exciting featherweights Jason Knight (-325) and Gabriel Benitez (+250). Knight’s style likens to the Diaz brothers. “The Kid” is a tough-as-nails, high-volume boxer who taunts his opponent until he can drag the fight to the mat. Benitez is a diverse, crisp technical striker who owns some stiff kicks. However, his takedown defense is basically zero.

UFC Fight Night 123: Cub Swanson vs Brian Ortega Betting Odds
  • Cub Swanson -115
  • Brian Ortega -115
Odds as of December 6 at Bovada
  • Jason Knight -325
  • Gabriel Benitez +250
  • Marlon Moraes -155
  • Aljamain Sterling +125
  • Darrell Horcher -105
  • Scott Holtzman -125
  • Eryk Anders -300
  • Markus Perez +230
  • Alberto Morales -115
  • Benito Lopez -115