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UFC Fight Night 83: Betting Odds Preview

The welterweight division will see a new face when Donald Cerrone and Alex Oliveira will meet at 170 lbs at UFC Fight Night 83. Cerrone will see his first fight as a welterweight after a quick title loss to 155 lbs kingpin Rafael dos Anjos. Oliveira took the fight on short notice following Tim Means’ withdrawal from the bout.

The co-main event will feature a middleweight contest between Derek Brunson and Roan Carneiro with the winner likely primed for a big step up in competition before the year is out.

Main Event: Donald Cerrone vs Alex Oliveira

Donald Cerrone was always a huge lightweight with his reach being one of the key aspects to his game, but a jump up in weight may negate that ability. The Colorado-native has always used his superior leg/knee strikes and Muay Thai skills to keep his distance and slow down his opponents. Cerrone is not the greatest grappler in the world, but his submission game has always been fantastic.

Alex Oliveira comes into the bout on a three-fight winning streak with each victory coming via a different method. Oliveira has parlayed his athleticism and raw talents into some real notoriety amongst MMA fans. He is a solid all-around fighter, specifically using his Muay Thai in the striking game. Oliveira’s major flaw comes when you get him on his back as he is completely over his head in that position.

As promising a prospect as Oliveira is, Cerrone is superior in most aspects. Cerrone will be a little out of his element as he will not have a reach advantage in this fight and if Oliveira can get inside, then that is a recipe to defeat Cerrone. However, Cerrone is coming into this fight a more experienced and more developed fighter, but there has been proof that he is beatable.

Co-Main Event: Derek Brunson vs Roan Carneiro

Since joining the UFC, Derek Brunson is 5-1 with that one loss coming at the hands of Yoel Romero. Brunson was a Division II wrestler in college and has applied those skills successfully in his MMA career. Brunson’s striking is improving, with the North Carolina-native winning each of his past two fights by TKO in the first round. Brunson’s gas tank has gone dry more than once, and his chin is far from made of steel.

Roan Carneiro is an excellent grappler, with 50 percent of his career wins coming via submission. The Brazilian’s striking is far from perfect, but he is still showing improvements in each fight. Carneiro’s skillset is geared toward offense, as his defensive abilities have looked like a liability.

Though Carneiro has struggled to protect himself in fights, he has still not been overly easy to finish. Brunson has the ability to end the fight in every aspect of the game, but Carneiro has been fighting since 2000 and there's not much he hasn’t seen.

Other Main Card Fights

Dennis Bermudez has seen his stock drop lately as ‘The Menace” is coming off back-to-back losses for the first time in five years. Bermudez is powerful and well rounded, but he primarily relies on his powerful wrestling game to pick up victories. Tatsuya Kawajiri is 7-1 since dropping down to featherweight with three of those victories coming via submission.

Shane Campbell and James Krause start the main card in a fight that could very well end early. Five of Campbell’s past seven victories were via stoppage while Krause has won 20 of his 22 bouts before the judges could weigh in.

UFC Fight Night 83: Consol Energy Center, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania

Odds as of February 18 at Bovada

  • Donald Cerrone -300
  • Alex Oliveira +230
  • Derek Brunson -370
  • Roan Carneiro +280
  • Dennis Bermudez -350
  • Tatsuya Kawajiri +265
  • James Krause -145
  • Shane Campbell +115
  • Chris Camozzi -260
  • Joe Riggs +200
  • Sean Strickland -125
  • Alex Garcia -105
  • Daniel Sarafian -190
  • Oluwale Bamgbose +155
  • Trevor Smith -140
  • Leonardo Augusto Guimaraes +110
  • Anthony Smith -155
  • Leonardo Augusto Leleco +120
  • Jonavin Webb -250
  • Nathan Coy +195
  • Marion Reneau -185
  • Ashlee Evans-Smith +150
  • Shamil Abdurakhimov -120
  • Anthony Hamilton -110
  • Lauren Murphy -340
  • Kelly Faszholz +260