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UFC on Fox: Johnson vs. Moraga Odds

Demetrious Johnson has proven to be a worthy inaugural UFC Flyweight Champion so far, successfully defending his title in his last bout against John Dodson.


He’ll look to defend the belt once again when he squares off against John Moraga on July 27.

Moraga is a talented fighter with just one loss over the course of his pro career. Since that loss, Moraga has won seven straight fights including two in the UFC to earn this title bout. Demetrious Johnson is a substantial favorite of -450 to win at Bovada with John Moraga going off as a +325 underdog.

Bettors that don’t want to bet the heavy chalk on Johnson but also aren’t sure if Moraga can pull off the upset should consider the OVER 4.5 rounds at -260 at 5Dimes. Each of Johnson’s last seven fights have gone to the cards, and the champ has never lost via knockout or submission.

Rory MacDonald is a -230 favorite at Bovada over Jake Ellenberger, who is going off at +180 to pull off the upset. This fight should come down to who can control the tempo. If MacDonald can keep the fight on the mat, he is a superior wrestler that should be able to pick up his fifth straight win.


But if Ellenberger can turn it into a striking match, anything goes; 18 of his 29 career wins have come by knockout. Bettors that like Ellenberger in this one should also consider the UNDER 2.5 rounds at -125 at 5Dimes, as he’s far more likely to win this one by knockout than decision.


“If Rory doesn’t get the fight to the ground quickly, Ellenberger will swarm him, just like he did to Marquardt and Shields,” said Jack Randall, the main MMA handicapper here at OddsShark.com. “Rory was even losing to Che Mills before throwing him down and pounding him out at UFC 145.”


UFC on Fox 8 - Johnson vs Moraga odds (courtesy of SportBet)

John Albert    -270    
Yaotzin Meza    210    
Aaron Riley    195    
Justin Salas    -250    

Ed Herman    -260    
Trevor Smith    200    
Germaine de Randamie    -125    
Julie Kedzie    -105    

Yves Edwards    105    
Darron Cruickshank    -135    
Danny Castillo    -225    
Tim Means    175    

Mac Danzig    -105    
Melvin Guillard    -125    
Jorge Masvidal    -275    
Mike Chiesa    215    

Bobby Voelker    230    
Robbie Lawlor    -300    
Liz Carmouche    -600    
Jessica Andrade    400

Jake Ellenberger    190    
Rory MacDonald    -240        
Demetrious Johnson    -500    
John Moraga    350   

Submission specialist Jessica Andrade makes her UFC debut as a big underdog of +450 at 5Dimes going up against Liz Carmouche. Carmouche is a much more battle-tested and proven fighter, and at -600 appears to be a pretty safe bet to get her first win in the UFC.