In a classic tangle of young vs old, bantamweights Marlon Vera (21-7-1) and Dominick Cruz (24-3) will square off in a five-round main event Saturday at Pechanga Arena in San Diego, California.
Prelim bouts begin at 4:30 p.m. ET and the main card kicks off at 7 p.m., where Vera sits as a moderate -240 favorite in the Vera vs Cruz odds.
It’s crazy to think that “Chito,” at just 29 years old, has been in the UFC since 2014. It’s taken the Ecuadorian a very long time to earn the respect he deserves, but now he’s at that point. Vera, ranked fifth, enters Saturday as a Sportsbook of four of his last six bouts, including knockouts of Frankie Edgar and Sean O’Malley.
Cruz, the eighth-ranked bantamweight, has faded away from the top fighters in the division of late. Between a four-year layoff after 2016 and a dedication to his career as a UFC commentator, the 37-year-old hasn’t exactly turned heads with his last two decision wins in the Octagon.
That said, “The Dominator” is still one of the best bantamweights in company history. He’s a very smart fighter, and he’s competing in his hometown of San Diego. This matchup won’t be easy for Vera.
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs Cruz Odds
Sportsbook lists Vera as the -240 chalk, while Cruz enters as a +185 underdog.
Fight fans hoping for a big score can turn to the prelims, where a women's catchweight bout between Angela Hill and Lupita Godinez sees Hill pegged as the card’s biggest underdog at +280.
The tightest odds on the card appear in a prelim bantamweight fight between Youssef Zalal (-130) and Da’Mon Blackshear (+110).
UFC Fight Night: Vera vs Cruz Betting Odds & Fight Card
Odds as of August 13 via Sportsbook
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Marlon Vera vs Dominick Cruz Odds & Pick
Fighter
Odds
Marlon Vera
-240
Dominick Cruz
+185
Vera’s typically not a distinguished favorite, as he’s flip-flopped between chalk and underdog over his last several fights or so. At -240, Chito sports his most heavily chalked odds since a fight vs Nohelin Hernandez (-500) at UFC 239, which he won by second-round submission.
Cruz, on the other hand, is no stranger to the lack of respect from sportsbooks. In all three fights since his return to MMA in 2020, Dom has been listed either close to even or as the underdog. His only loss in his last three came when he challenged Henry Cejudo (+175) for the bantamweight strap at UFC 249.
Looking at the Vera vs Cruz odds, our sports betting calculator tells us Vera’s -240 odds represent an implied win probability of 70.59 percent. Cruz's +185 odds earn him an implied 35.09 percent chance to win. That means a successful $10 bet on Vera pays out $4.17, whereas the same wager on Cruz would pay out $18.50.
Pick: Cruz by decision (+250)
David Onama vs Nate Landwehr Odds & Pick
Fighter
Odds
David Onama
-335
Nate Landwehr
+265
A featherweight showdown between Onama (10-1) and Landwehr (15-4) will be the co-main on Saturday. The Ugandan opens as the -335 favorite, leaving the American at +265.
Onama, who made his UFC debut in 2021, comes in with two straight stoppage victories, while Landwehr holds a 2-2 UFC record but won his last fight via anaconda choke.
Pick: Onama by KO/TKO (-110)
Devin Clark vs Azamat Murzakanov
Fighter
Odds
Devin Clark
+128
Azamat Murzakanov
-165
This card isn’t exactly littered with household names, but there’s an intriguing light heavyweight matchup between Devin Clark (13-6) and Azamat Murzakanov (11-0) that we want to zone in on.