I've got three WNBA expert picks for tonight. Tail along!
Although I'm not a fan of betting on the Liberty's larger-than-life spreads, I'm backing them to cover a double-digit line in the New York vs Washington matchup tonight. Also, let me explain why I think the Aces' sloppy defense will leave enough space for the Dream to keep up on the court.
Rolling Record: 9-4 (+2.82 UNITS)
aces vs dream WNBA preview & pick
The Game: Las Vegas Aces vs Atlanta Dream, 7:30 PM ET
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|
Las Vegas Aces | -8.5 (-108) | O 171.5 (-110) | -410 |
Atlanta Dream | +8.5 (-112) | U 171.5 (-110) | +320 |
My Take: To be honest, the Aces (4-1 SU, 2-3 ATS) have been pretty sloppy defensively this season. They sit, coincidentally, side-by-side with Atlanta (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS) allowing opponents 81 PPG. There's absolutely no denying that all of Las Vegas' success rests in the offense that averages a league-high 89 PPG and fourth-best 34.6% shooting from beyond the arc.
Notably, the Dream's offense has been pretty elite in respective areas. Sporting a second-best 35.2 three-point percentage and shooting a respectable 44.2 from the field.
The Aces and larger spreads are enemies, covering just one spread above the 8.5-point mark.
Pick: Dream +8.5 (-112)
Wings vs sun WNBA preview & pick
The Game: dallas wings vs connecticut sun, 7:30 PM ET
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|
Dallas Wings | +4.5 (-112) | O 162 (-108) | +160 |
Connecticut Sun | -4.5 (-108) | U 162 (-112) | -192 |
My Take: Are the Wings that good? Or do they have yet to be tested? Sure Dallas (3-2 SU, 4-1 ATS) is posting the second-best 86 PPG, but peering at their schedule filled with Chicago, Phoenix and Los Angeles doesn't scream any threats.
I mean, playing against that Connecticut (6-0 SU, 2-4) defense is a different beast. The Sun lock down in their zone, allowing an extreme league-low of 73.8 PPG.
We've seen Connecticut finish with some close-calls, having four of their six matchups decided by seven points or fewer. But, I'm basing this pick off their last outing against Phoenix. You know, the one where they held the Mercury to just 47-points. Yeah, this defense is impossible to beat when it wants to be. Like I said, Dallas doesn't know what's coming.
Pick: Sun -8.5 (-112)
mystics vs liberty WNBA preview & pick
The Game: Washington Mystics vs NY Liberty, 7:30 PM ET
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|
Washington Mystics | +13.5 (-112) | O 161 (-108) | +750 |
NY Liberty | -13.5 (-108) | U 161 (-112) | -1200 |
My Take: Typically, I am always betting against New York (5-2 SU, 1-6 ATS) since it has yet to cover a double-digit line and is currently riding a five-game spread skid. However, Washington is a whole new level of bad. The Mystics (0-7 SU, 3-3-1 ATS) have yet to get in the win column and average the WNBA's worst 73.7 PPG.
That awful offense up against the second-best defense in the league? This should be an easy spread to cover if you're the Liberty.
Pick: Liberty -13.5 (-108)