There's three games for tonight's WNBA slate and I'm betting on two of 'em. The New York Liberty meet the Phoenix Mercury and continue the curse of being heavily favored. Plus, I'm playing with the total for the first time this season for the Atlanta Dream and Washington Mystics matchup.
Rolling Record: 8-3 (+2.91 UNITS)
mercury vs liberty preview & pick
The Game: Phoenix Mercury vs NY Liberty, 7 PM ET
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|
Phoenix Mercury | +14.5 (-112) | O 171.5 (-108) | +700 |
NY Liberty | -14.5 (-108) | U 171.5 (-112) | -1100 |
My Take: Let's continue taking advantage of sportsbooks continuing to pin generous lines on the Liberty. Riding a two-game skid, New York is 1-5 ATS. Mind you, the only spread it did cover was the only line that wasn't double-digits. At 14.5, this makes it the Liberty's second-largest spread this season.
Playing just six games this season, Phoenix (3-3 SU) has already won over a quarter of last year's nine-win season. Unlike the Liberty, the Mercury are 3-3 ATS. They haven't covered in their last three outings, though those were the only games they entered as the favorites. However, when double-digit underdogs, Phoenix is 2-0 ATS with both outings being road appearances.
Pick: Mercury +14.5 (-112)
dream vs mystics preview & pick
The Game: atlanta dream vs washington mystics, 7 PM ET
Team | Spread | Total | Moneyline |
---|---|---|---|
Atlanta Dream | -2.5 (-115) | O 163.5 (-110) | -142 |
Washington Mystics | +2.5 (-105) | U 163.5 (-110) | +120 |
My Take: The Mystics (0-6 SU, 3-2-1 ATS) are still seeking their first win of the season. Last matchup, Washington got trampled by Seattle, 69-101. What doesn't help is the Mystics dropping a league-low 74.3 PPG and allowing the fifth-most 84.5 PPG.
While Atlanta (2-2 SU, 1-3 ATS) isn't sweeping its competition, there's more offensive juice sitting on its bench. The group averages the fourth-nest 84.8 PGP and is shooting 36.9% (ranked third) from the perimeter. Rhyne Howard, commanding the court nightly, sits just outside the top five posting 21 PPG and averaging 2.8 blocks per game (ranked second).
Rhyne Howard is absolutely on one right now.
— Blake (@blakesilverman) May 16, 2024
Step back three 🔥 pic.twitter.com/x3UQFMIH1r
The Dream are 3-1 in favor of the OVER and that's exactly what I think we'll see happen tonight.
Pick: OVER 163.5 (-110)