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WNBA odds preview - Dream vs. Mercury

Atlanta DreamPhoenix Mercury
July 7, 10:00 PM | US Airways Center

Atlanta Dream vs Phoenix Mercury Odds


Phoenix looks to cover the Mercury-Dream pointspread on Saturday and improve its overall 4-11 mark when they host Atlanta in WNBA action.

The Mercury are 4-11 so far on the season, and 6-9 ATS vs. the number. The Dream, meanwhile, are 7-8 and 6-9 ATS. OVER/UNDER bettors have seen Phoenix go 7-8 and the Dream go 4-10-1 on the totals.

View Atlanta vs Phoenix Odds and Stats.

Betting Line:
If you're going with the Mercury in this one, they're listed as 6.5-point underdogs on the betting line for the contest. Totals bettors have seen that number set at 165.5 for Monday.

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How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Phoenix's No. 7-ranked offense (77.7 PPG) against a Dream defense that ranks No. 5 at 74.9 PPG. The Mercury have averaged 40.5% from the field per game, less than the Dream have managed so far this season (42.3% on average).

In comparing how the teams stack up statistically, the Dream own the league's No. 8-rated mark, allowing 81.7 points per game when on the road. Phoenix, on the other hand, rates No. 7 in home scoring.

The Dream were a 71-69 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Sky. They failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (140) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Dream endured a 71-69 loss at the hands of the Sky on Sunday, despite a 21-point effort from Angel McCoughtry at Allstate Arena.

Phoenix lost its last outing, an 82-81 result against the Silver Stars on July 3. The Mercury covered in that game as a 14-point underdog, while the 163 combined points took the game UNDER the total. DeWanna Bonner was dynamite, scoring 38 points and adding 8 rebounds but San Antonio still won, 82-81, over Phoenix on Tuesday at AT&T Center.

Atlanta Dream Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 4-3
Before playing Los Angeles are 5-4
After playing Chicago are 4-6
After a loss are 6-4

Phoenix Mercury Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 6-3
Before playing Seattle are 5-5
After playing San Antonio are 7-3
After a loss are 4-6

A few Dream at Mercury trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Atlanta's last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Atlanta's last 7 games when playing Phoenix
Atlanta is 6-12 ATS in its last 18 games
Atlanta is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Phoenix
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Phoenix's last 8 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Phoenix's last 7 games when playing Atlanta
Phoenix is 8-15 ATS in its last 23 games

Next up:
Atlanta at Los Angeles, Sunday, July 8
Phoenix at Seattle, Sunday, July 8