Let's end my week of betting MLB total base props with a winner. I've been betting these bases all week and today's picks are my most confident selections yet.
Maybe that confidence is a bad thing, but I'm willing to find out. Check out my three MLB total base prop picks for May 10th, where I'm betting on two of baseball's best people:
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Pick 1: Marcell Ozuna Over 1.5 Total Bases (+130)
Matchup Preview - Game Time: 7:10 pm ET
Marcell Ozuna is having himself a freaking season. The Braves slugger has 12 homers on the year and is hitting .315. He's also extremely hot lately, with five hits and three homers in his last three games. AND, he owns tonight's Mets starter, Jose Quintana. Ozuna has a career 1.185 OPS and .458 average against Quintana 24 at-bats.
Ozuna has everything I like in a total base over pick tonight. So, knowing my luck, he'll go 0/4 with four strikeouts.
I honestly love the Braves in general tonight, as Ozuna isn't the only one who owns Quintana, historically. Both Adam Duvall and Ozzie Albies have career batting averages over .400 against the Mets lefty.
Pick 2: Tommy Pham Over 1.5 Total Bases (+100)
Matchup Preview - Game Time: 7:40 pm ET
Tommy Pham is just about the only thing going good in Chicago. The outfielder has come up firing in his first 12 games with the White Sox, hitting .313 with five extra-base hits, so far.
He's also got a habit of mashing his opposing pitcher tonight, Carlos Carrasco, with a career .545 average and 1.674 OPS in 11 at-bats against the Cleveland righty.
If you think Pham is going to have a big day, you should probably bet the White Sox ML, too. In games that Pham has more than one hit, his team is 4-2 this year. You can get Chicago at even money today.
Pick 3: Carlos Correa Over 1.5 Total Bases (+105)
Matchup Preview - Game Time: 7:10 pm ET
I'm not going to overthink this one. Carlos Correa has nine hits (three extra-base knocks) in 19 career at-bats against Yusei Kikuchi. Correa also comes into this one hot. With hits in six of his last eight games, including a homer last time out.
Kikuchi has been pretty good, but he's also had a few days where he lets up hits. He's allowed 15 knocks in his last two starts combined, so I think he's got some room to allow Correa to get on a few more times tonight.
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