NHL expert picks tonight may 5, 2024

NHL Playoff Expert Picks: Another Game 7 Sees Total Go UNDER

It's time. The Stanley Cup is being polished, the series are locked in as the NHL playoffs are underway.

Just like the players, our team is taking no days off either. Michel Anderson and I will be giving picks for every playoff game this season.

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Visit our NHL betting hub daily for expert analysis for every series and playoff betting tips to find an edge for every bet.

Rolling Records
Michel: 27-16 (+3.06 Units)
Josie: 21-22 (-0.83 Units)

Game 1: Hurricanes vs Rangers
The Game: Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Rangers, 4 pM ET

TeamPucklineTotalMoneyline
Carolina Hurricanes-1.5 (+225)O5.5 (+102)-115
New York Rangers+1.5 (-278)U5.5 (-122)-105

Carolina Hurricanes vs New York Rangers Series Preview

Michel's Take: In the last five regular season matchups between these two divisional rivals, the UNDER has hit four times. So we're already starting on the right foot. Their recent playoff history also favors the UNDER with an 8-2 record in two series since 2020.

Now look at their individual playoff record against the total and you'll like the UNDER for this afternoon's game. 

In Carolina's series with the Islanders, the UNDER is 3-2. In New York's sweep of Washington, the UNDER hit twice. But let's be honest, Washington isn't the same defensive side that Carolina is; specifically, on the PK. Washington was effective 62.5% against the Rangers' power play. Carolina who held the best PK during the regular season won't have the same problem.

I'm taking the UNDER tonight.

Michel's Pick: UNDER 5.5 (-122)

Game 7: Stars vs Golden Knights
The Game: Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights, 7:30 PM ET

TeamPucklineTotalMoneyline
Vegas Golden Knights+1.5 (-218)O5.5 (+120)+124
Dallas Stars-1.5 (+180)U5.5 (-142)-148

Dallas Stars vs Vegas Golden Knights Series Preview

Michel's Take: We've got a Game 7 in a series where the UNDER has hit four times in six games (67%). Now consider that little stat I threw at you yesterday for the Toronto-Boston Game 7:

In the past 10 years, we've seen 39 game 7's (Dallas-Vegas will be the 40th). And in those 39 games, the UNDER has hit 27 times. Or an outstanding (69%). Why would you bet on anything else than the UNDER tonight?

Michel's Pick: UNDER 5.5 (-142)

Side Prop Bet: Since Game 2, Oettinger has faced no less than 25 shots on net. His save prop tonight is 25.5. With Vegas tossing a ton of rubber at him through this series and the Otter stopping 94% of them O25.5 saves at -125 sounds like a good bet tonight.  

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