NBA Player Props for December 15, 2025
Ace Bailey U6.5 Reb + Ast (-114 at FanDuel)
The Jazz are getting a point and a half when they take on the Mavericks tonight and not only do I like Dallas tonight, I also like Ace Bailey to go UNDER 6.5 rebounds + assists.
Bailey has gone UNDER this total in 19-of-24 games this season (79%) and the last eight games straight averaging 4.6 that's coming with an uptick in playing time recently as well.
Prop Professor EV Bet: Neemias Queta UNDER 18.5 Points + Rebounds (-105)
According to Prop Professor's projections, the Neemias Queta points + rebounds market at BetMGM is undervalued by sportsbooks, showing a +5.5% expected value edge. Despite Queta's breakout season as Boston's starting center (averaging 10.1 points and 8.3 rebounds for 18.4 combined per game), tonight's matchup against Detroit presents a challenging road spot where regression is likely. The 26-year-old has been inconsistent in recent weeks and is also dealing with ankle management issues that forced him to miss Sunday's game against Cleveland.
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Prop Picks Records
2025-26 Regular Season (one unit per wager)
| Expert | Record | Units |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Walder | 79-81 | -6.93 |
| Nick Holz | 1-0 | +0.66 |
Results as of December 6, 2025
