Final Four Pick: Wisconsin vs. Kentucky
The No. 2 Wisconsin Badgers will be looking to follow up their upset win over a top seed with a victory over the No. 8 Kentucky Wildcats in the Final Four on Saturday night.
Wisconsin knocked out No. 1 Arizona in their Elite Eight matchup on Saturday, winning that game by a final score of 64-63 to advance to the Final Four. The Badgers also got past American, Oregon, and Baylor.
Wisconsin is 9-2 ATS in its past 11 tournament games and opened as small underdogs at Bovada. But Kentucky is 10-0 SU, 8-1-1 ATS in its past 10 tournament games.
Wisconsin is 6-2 SU and ATS in its past eight games as underdogs while Kentucky is 7-2 SU in Final Four games since 1996.
After beating Michigan last week, Kentucky is now 5-1 ATS vs 2 seeds since 1996. For over-under bettors (the line was 139.5 midweek at TopBet, the four games between 2 and 8 seeds since 2004 have all played OVER the total.
Kentucky heads to the Final Four off a win over No. 2 Michigan in the Elite Eight on Sunday, holding on for a 75-72 victory in that contest. The Wildcats have also beaten Kansas State, Wichita State, and Louisville so far in the tournament.
Odds Shark computer pick - 73.6-72.7 Badgers
Wisconsin battles the Wildcats, currently sitting with a 28-10 mark (21-14-1 ATS). The OVER/UNDER records, always important for totals bettors, are 20-17 for the Badgers and 18-18 for the Wildcats.
The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Badgers rated this week at No. 34 and the Wildcats sitting at No. 86.
Kentucky won its last outing, a 75-72 result against Michigan on March 30. They covered in that game as a 2.5-point favorite. Kentucky got 16 points from Julius Randle en route to a 75-72 victory over Michigan on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium.
Last time out for Wisconsin, they were a 64-63 winner as they battled Arizona on the road. They covered in the match as a 3.5-point underdog. Frank Kaminsky scored 28 points and helped out with 11 rebounds for Wisconsin on Saturday, leading the Badgers to a 64-63 victory over Arizona at Honda Center.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Wisconsin's No. 71 nationally ranked offense (73.51 points per game) against a Wildcats defense that sits as the No. 65 at 66.63 PPG. The Badgers have been averaging 45.93% from the field, more than the Wildcats have managed so far this season (45.36% on average).
A few Wildcats at Badgers trends to consider:
Kentucky is 5-1-1 SU in its last 7 games
Wisconsin is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Wisconsin is 13-2 SU in its last 15 games