BCS Championship Betting Preview

This college football season ends with a real bang as 12-1 Alabama shoots for back-to-back titles against 12-0 Notre Dame in the BCS national championship game Monday, Jan. 7 at Sun Life Stadium in suburban Miami (8:30 pm ET, ESPN).

For the early BCS title game odds most books were listing the Crimson Tide, champions of the Southeastern Conference, as nine-point favorites over the Irish, who haven't played for all the marbles in over 20 years.

The favorite is 4-1 ATS in the past 5 BCS title games, which have all been won by the SEC. Alabama won and covered 4 straight bowl games, including last year’s championship game, while Notre Dame is a dreadful 2-8 ATS in their past 10 bowl games.


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View Alabama vs Notre Dame Odds and Stats.

BCS Betting Line: Oddsmakers at 5Dimes opened the Fighting Irish as 8.5-point underdogs in the matchup and it was bet quickly up to -10 by mid-December. Meanwhile the betting total was hovering around 41.5 at Bovada.


Alabama Bowl History

YearBowlTeam1ScoreTeam2ScoreTeam2LineATS win
1996Outback BowlAlabama17Michigan141ALAB
1998Music City BowlVirginia Tech38Alabama75VTECH
1999Orange BowlMichigan35Alabama34-2.5MICH
2001Independence BowlAlabama14Iowa State136.5IOWAST
2004Music City BowlMinnesota20Alabama16-3MINN
2005Cotton BowlAlabama13Texas Tech10-3ALAB
2006Independence BowlOklahoma State34Alabama312OKLAST
2007Independence BowlColorado24Alabama30-4.5ALAB
2008Sugar BowlUtah31Alabama17-9.5UTAH
2009BCS Championship GameTexas21Alabama37-4ALAB
2010Capital One BowlMichigan State7Alabama49-8ALAB
2011BCS Championship GameAlabama21LSU02.5ALAB

Notre Dame Bowl History

YearBowlTeam1ScoreTeam2ScoreTeam2LineATS win
1995Orange BowlFlorida State31Notre Dame2610NOTRD
1997Independence BowlNotre Dame9LSU27-7LSU
1998Gator BowlGeorgia Tech35Notre Dame282.5GATECH
2000Fiesta BowlNotre Dame9Oregon State41-3OREGST
2002Gator BowlNorth Carolina State28Notre Dame62N.C.ST
2004Insight BowlOregon State38Notre Dame213OREGST
2005Fiesta BowlNotre Dame20Ohio State34-4.5OHIOST
2006Sugar BowlNotre Dame14LSU41-8.5LSU
2008Hawaii BowlNotre Dame49Hawaii21-2.5NOTRD
2010Sun BowlNotre Dame33Miami17-2.5NOTRD
2011Champs Sports BowlNotre Dame14Florida State18-3FLAST

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Notre Dame's No. 76-ranked offense (26.8 PPG) against a Crimson Tide defense that ranks No. 2 at 10.7 PPG. The Fighting Irish passing attack has averaged 218.8 yards per game, more than the Crimson Tide give up through the air (166.2 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Crimson Tide feature the league's No. 3-rated road run defense, allowing 78.4 yards per game. Notre Dame, meanwhile, ranks No. 39 in rushing offense at home.

Alabama was a 32-28 winner in their most recent outing on the road against Georgia. They failed to cover the 9-point spread as favorites, while the total score (60) made winners of OVER bettors. Eddie Lacy ran through the Georgia defense for 181 yards in Alabama's last game, handing the Bulldogs a 32-28 setback on Saturday at Georgia Dome.

Last time out for Notre Dame, they were a 22-13 winner as they battled Southern Cal on the road. Notre Dame covered in the match as a 4.5-point favorite, while 35 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. Theo Riddick went over the 100-yard mark (146) in his team's latest effort as Notre Dame defeated Southern Cal by a score of 22-13 on Saturday.

Alabama Crimson Tide Trends:
When playing in January are 5-2
When playing on grass are 9-1
After outgaining opponent are 10-0
When favored on the road are 9-1

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Trends:
When playing in January are 0-6
When playing on grass are 10-0
After outgaining opponent are 10-0
When an underdog at home are 1-9

A few Crimson Tide at Fighting Irish trends to consider:
Alabama is 16-1 SU in its last 17 games
Alabama is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Notre Dame is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Notre Dame's last 11 games