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Game Preview - Mountaineers underdogs vs Terrapins at Maryland

West Virginia MountaineersMaryland Terrapins
Sep 21, 3:30 PM | Grass of Byrd Stadium

 

West Virginia Mountaineers vs Maryland Terrapins Odds

West Virginia travels to Maryland on Saturday, hoping to boost its 2-1 mark in Week 4 action with a victory over the Terrapins.

And while the game is technically a neutral site matchup (at M&T Bank Stadium where the Ravens play), it is still basically a Maryland home game.

This season the Terrapins are 3-0 overall and 3-0 ATS against the number, while the Mountaineers are 2-1 and 1-2 ATS. As for the totals, Maryland is 2-1 on the OU, and West Virginia is 0-3.

View West Virginia vs Maryland Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: The Mountaineers were listed as 4.5-point underdogs on the opening NCAA football line at 5Dimes and most sportsbooks tracked by OddsShark. The total was 53 at midweek at SportBet. Watch for line moves heading towards Saturday's kickoff.

Power Rankings / Prediction: It's a betting matchup between the No. 35-rated Terrapins and the No. 71-ranked Mountaineers, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 50-34 result in favor of the Terrapins.

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How They Match Up:
The game also pits Maryland's No. 29-ranked offense, averaging 40.7 PPG, against a Mountaineers defense that ranks No. 16 this week at 13.3 PPG. The Terrapins aerial game is averaging 292.3 yards per game, more than the Mountaineers secondary allows through the air, 136.7 YPG per game.

In comparing defenses, the Mountaineers own the league's No. 95-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 316 yards per game when on the road. Maryland, on the other hand, rates No. 18 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

West Virginia was a 41-7 winner in its last match at home against Georgia State. They failed to cover the 41.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score of 48 sent UNDER bettors to the payout window. Ford Childress's 359-yard performance through the air was enough last time out, as West Virginia earned a 41-7 win over Georgia State on Saturday at Mountaineer Field at Milan Puskar Stadium.

Last time out for Maryland, they were a 32-21 winner as they battled Connecticut on the road. Maryland covered in the match as a 4.5-point favorite, while 53 combined points moved the game OVER for totals bettors. C.J. Brown tore up the turf for 122 rushing yards in the latest Terrapins game, a 32-21 win over the Huskies at Rentschler Field.

West Virginia Mountaineers Trends:
When playing in September are 8-2
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When playing outside the conference are 8-2

Maryland Terrapins Trends:
When playing in September are 6-4
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When playing outside the conference are 6-4

 

 

 

A few Mountaineers at Terrapins trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of West Virginia's last 5 games
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Maryland
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of West Virginia's last 5 games on the road
West Virginia is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games when playing West Virginia
Maryland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games at home
Maryland is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games

Next up:
West Virginia home to Oklahoma State, Saturday, September 28
Maryland at Florida State, Saturday, October 5