The college football regular season comes to an end with the 113th playing of the Army Navy game, Saturday afternoon at The Linc in Philadelphia (3 pm ET, CBS).
In the early betting the 7-4 Midshipmen, who have won this game a series-record 10 times in a row, were favored by seven points over the 2-9 Knights.
The Midshipmen will look to vanquish their hosts on Saturday, as they are 4-7 ATS versus the spread this season, while the Black Knights are 3-8 ATS. Navy is 3-7 against the total, while Army is 5-4-1 versus the number.
Power Rankings / Prediction: The Black Knights - Midshipmen odds would favor the Black Knights if the lines were set according to power ranks. Army is rated No. 70 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Midshipmen sit at No. 71. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 30-16 win for the Midshipmen.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Army's No. 85-ranked offense (25.3 PPG) against a Midshipmen defense that ranks No. 36 at 23.5 PPG. The Black Knights passing attack has averaged 68.1 yards per game, less than the Midshipmen give up through the air (225.7 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Midshipmen feature the league's No. 64-rated road run defense, allowing 173.8 yards per game. Army, meanwhile, ranks No. 2 in rushing offense at home.
Navy was a 21-10 winner in their most recent outing at home against Texas State. They failed to cover the 13-point spread as favorites, while the total score (31) made winners of UNDER bettors. Texas State was unable to contain Noah Copeland in its last action Saturday and the result was a 21-10 Week 12 loss against the Midshipmen.
Army was a 63-32 loser in their most recent outing at home against Temple. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (95) made winners of OVER bettors. Last time we saw the Black Knights, they had no answer for $WinningRB as the Owls rolled to a 63-32 victory at Michie Stadium.
Navy Midshipmen Trends:
When playing in December are 6-4
When playing on grass are 5-5
After outgaining opponent are 6-4
When favored on the road are 7-3
Army Black Knights Trends:
When playing in December are 1-9
When playing on grass are 2-8
After being outgained are 3-7
When an underdog at home are 3-7
A few Midshipmen at Black Knights trends to consider:
Navy is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Army
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 5 games when playing Army
Navy is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Navy's last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Army's last 5 games when playing Navy
Army is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games when playing Navy
Army is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Army is 2-13 SU in its last 15 games
Navy at Arizona State, Saturday, December 29