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Rose Bowl betting preview

In an unlikely Grand-daddy of 'em All match-up 11-2 Stanford butts heads with 8-5 Wisconsin in the Rose Bowl New Year's Day in Pasadena (5 pm ET, ESPN).

Early Rose Bowl betting odds were listing the Cardinal, who come in having won four straight games over ranked opponents, including a victory over UCLA in the Pac-12 championship game, as six-point favorites over the Badgers. Wisconsin only went 4-4 in conference play this season but destroyed Nebraska in the Big Ten championship game.

Stanford has covered three straight bowls while the Badgers have lost 4 of 5 SU.

[ More Rose Bowl betting trends, stats and matchup detail - check it out ]

*Editor Note: Stanford DT Terrence Stephens ineligible for the Rose Bowl.

View Wisconsin vs Stanford Odds and Stats.

Betting Line: Sportsbooks such as Bovada had the Cardinal pegged as 6.5-point favorites in this matchup. The total, meanwhile, was 47.5 in early betting over at Check out the line moves before kickoff.


Wisconsin Bowl History

Year Bowl Team1 Score Team2 Score Team2Line ATS win
1996 Insight Bowl Wisconsin 38 Utah 10 8 WISCSN
1997 Outback Bowl Wisconsin 6 Georgia 33 -8.5 GEORGI
1998 Rose Bowl Wisconsin 38 UCLA 31 -9 WISCSN
1999 Rose Bowl Stanford 9 Wisconsin 17 11 WISCSN
2000 Sun Bowl UCLA 20 Wisconsin 21 -4.5 UCLA
2002 Alamo Bowl Colorado 28 Wisconsin 31 7 WISCSN
2003 Music City Bowl Wisconsin 14 Auburn 28 -3 AUBRN
2004 Outback Bowl Wisconsin 21 Georgia 24 -7 WISCSN
2005 Capital One Bowl Wisconsin 24 Auburn 10 -10 WISCSN
2006 Capital One Bowl Wisconsin 17 Arkansas 14 -2.5 WISCSN
2007 Outback Bowl Wisconsin 17 Tennessee 21 -2.5 TENN
2008 Champs Sports Bowl Wisconsin 13 Florida State 42 -7 FLAST
2009 Champs Sports Bowl Wisconsin 20 Miami 14 -3.5 WISCSN
2010 Rose Bowl TCU 21 Wisconsin 19 3 WISCSN
2011 Rose Bowl Wisconsin 38 Oregon 45 -4.5 OREG

Stanford Bowl History

Year Bowl Team1 Score Team2 Score Team2Line ATS win
1995 Liberty Bowl Stanford 13 East Carolina 19 3 E.CAR
1996 Sun Bowl Stanford 38 Michigan State 0 -8 STANFO
1999 Rose Bowl Stanford 9 Wisconsin 17 11 WISCSN
2001 Seattle Bowl Georgia Tech 24 Stanford 14 6 GATECH
2009 Sun Bowl Stanford 27 Oklahoma 31 -10.5 STANFO
2010 Orange Bowl Virginia Tech 12 Stanford 40 -3.5 STANFO
2011 Fiesta Bowl Stanford 38 Oklahoma State 41 -5 STANFO

How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Stanford's No. 71-ranked offense (28.5 PPG) against a Badgers defense that ranks No. 19 at 19.1 PPG. The Cardinal passing attack has averaged 203.5 yards per game, more than the Badgers give up through the air (196.5 YPG on average).

In comparing defenses, the Badgers own the league's No. 34-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 137.8 yards per game when on the road. Stanford, on the other hand, rates No. 69 this week in generating rushing yards at home.

Wisconsin was a 70-31 winner in their most recent outing at home against Nebraska. They covered the 3-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (101) made winners of OVER bettors. Nebraska was unable to contain Melvin Gordon in its last action Saturday and the result was a 70-31 Week 14 loss against the Badgers.

Stanford was a 27-24 winner in their most recent outing at home against UCLA. They failed to cover the 9.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (51) made winners of OVER bettors. The Cardinal grabbed a Week 14 victory over the Bruins in their last game, winning 27-24 at Stanford Stadium.

Wisconsin Badgers Trends:
When playing in January are 4-5
When playing on grass are 4-6
After outgaining opponent are 5-5
When an underdog on the road are 2-8

Stanford Cardinal Trends:
When playing in January are 1-2
When playing on grass are 9-1
After being outgained are 10-0
When favored at home are 9-1

A few Badgers at Cardinal trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wisconsin's last 7 games
Wisconsin is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games