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Noles Big Favorites Heading into Opener

After recording just three ATS victories last season the Florida State Seminoles will begin the post-Jameis Winston era as big betting favorites in their season opener on Saturday against the Texas State Bobcats.

The 2014 national champions will be looking to start another winning run after seeing their 29-game SU win streak stopped by a 59-20 loss to Oregon in last season's Rose Bowl.

While the Seminoles were an impressive 13-1 SU last season they went 3-11 ATS and had just one ATS win on home turf. Conversely, the Bobcats struggled with consistency a year ago, finishing 7-5 SU overall, but ended the season with six straight ATS wins, including a pair of outright wins as underdogs.

Saturday's matchup at Doak Campbell Stadium is the first ever between these two teams. Not surprisingly, the Seminoles, who open the season at No. 10 in the AP Top 25, were victorious in their two most recent meetings with Sun Belt squads, going 1-1 ATS, while the Bobcats are winless in their last three games against ranked teams.

Opening Odds & Computer Pick

The home Florida State Seminoles were -37-point favorites in this NCAA football battle at Bovada earlier (watch for line movement). No over under line was available early in the week, but was set to be posted shortly.

Odds Shark computer score prediction models pick a possible 28-21 win for the Seminoles on Saturday. View the computer score prediction and who will win the pick on the moneyline for all upcoming NCAAF matchups here.

Texas State Bobcats vs Florida State Seminoles Matchup

Team Betting Records & Power Rankings

Florida State bring a 13-1 record (3-11 ATS) to the Week 1 betting matchup against the 7-5 Texas State Bobcats, who are 9-3 ATS against the spread. Over under betting has seen Florida State go 7-7 so far and the Bobcats go 7-5. Stay Informed: follow us on Twitter for odds specials, betting line moves and Florida State vs Texas State injuries news.

The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Florida State Seminoles at No. 13 and the Texas State Bobcats at No. 60 heading into this contest.

Statistical Matchup

Offensively, the game matches up the Florida State Seminoles No. 35-ranked offense (33.71 PPG) against a Texas State Bobcats defense that ranks No. 75 at 27.67 PPG. The Florida State Seminoles passing attack has averaged 303.36 yards per game, more than the Texas State Bobcats give up through the air (243.25 YPG on average).

Defensively, the Texas State Bobcats feature the league's No. 56-rated road run defense, allowing 165 yards per game. Florida State, meanwhile, ranks No. 23 in rushing offense at home.

Recent Outings Betting Recap

Georgia State was unable to contain Robert Lowe in its last action Saturday and the result was a 54-31 Week 14 loss against the Bobcats.

In Florida State's last outing, Jameis Winston threw for 348 yards in a losing cause against the Ducks, 59-20 at Rose Bowl.

Betting Trends
  • Texas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games
  • Texas State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
  • Texas State is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
  • Texas State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
  • Florida State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
  • Florida State is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games
  • The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida State's last 6 games
  • Florida State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games at home

Next Betting Matchups

Texas State home to Prairie View, Saturday, September 12th
Florida State home to South Florida, Saturday, September 12th

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