Browns take on Chiefs in Week 8 contest
|Cleveland Browns||Kansas City Chiefs|
The last undefeated team in the NFL, the Kansas City Chiefs are growing favorites over the struggling Cleveland Browns.
The Chiefs opened as 6.5-point favorites, but that line had grown to as high as minus-8 early in the week.
The Browns hammered the Chiefs, 30-7, last season, sending Kansas City to a 2-14 mark, the worst in the NFL. But things have changed dramatically in Kansas City, with new coach Any Reid off to a hot start.
The Browns are headed in the opposite direction. Things looked promising in Cleveland, before quarterback Brian Hoyer was lost for the season. QB Brandon Weeden has been extremely inconsistent in place of Hoyer.
The Chiefs are just 5-16-1 against the spread as home favorites since 2007. But the Browns are just 2-6 ATS in their past eight as a road underdog. Of note, there are solid UNDER trends in play this week.
The UNDER is 8-1-1 the past 10 Kansas City home games and even stronger (11-2-1 past 14) when they are home favorites.
The Chiefs sit at 7-0 (5-2 ATS) on the season; in comparison, the Browns are currently 3-4 (3-4 ATS). Looking to wager on the totals? Kansas City is 1-6 OU, and Cleveland is 3-4 OU.
Oddsmakers at Bovada had the Chiefs as 6.5-point favorites in the game, while the betting total was sitting at 39.5.
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Chiefs at No. 12 and the Browns at No. 28 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 29-14 result in favor of the Chiefs.
Last time out for Cleveland, they were a 31-13 loser as they battled the Packers on the road. The Browns failed to cover in the match as a 7.5-point underdog, while 44 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, the Browns were Week 7 losers coming out on the wrong end of 31-13 score against Green Bay. In their last game, the Chiefs were Week 7 winners, coming out on top of the Texans by a score of 17-16.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Kansas City's No. 13-ranked offense (24.14 PPG) against a Browns defense that ranks No. 17 at 22.29 PPG. The Chiefs passing attack has averaged 210.71 yards per game, less than the Browns give up through the air (219.86 YPG on average).
Defensively, the Browns feature the league's No. 18-rated road run defense, allowing 112.33 yards per game. Kansas City, meanwhile, ranks No. 17 in rushing offense at home.
A few Browns at Chiefs trends to consider:
Cleveland is 4-13-1 SU in its last 18 games
Cleveland is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Cleveland's last 8 games on the road
Kansas City is 6-0-1 SU in its last 7 games
Kansas City is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kansas City's last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas City's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland at Baltimore, Sunday, November 3rd
Kansas City at Buffalo, Sunday, November 3rd