Browns vs Ravens: Week 4 Betting
The Baltimore Ravens will try to extend their winning streak over the Cleveland Browns to nine games Thursday night when they host their division rival at M&T Bank Stadium.
Baltimore is 8-0 SU and 6-2 ATS in its last eight games against Cleveland. The total has gone UNDER in five of the last six meetings between these two teams.
The Ravens are 8-1 SU in their past 9 as a double-digit favorite, but just 1-8 ATS. Contrast that with Cleveland's 8-3 ATS in 11 recent games as a dog of 9 or more points and you have a possible cover situation.
The point spread was settled in at 12 favoring the host Ravens earlier in the week, according to Sportsbook.ag. The over under line was hovering around 45, with movement expected during the week at Bovada.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The OddsShark Power Rankings have the Ravens at No. 14 and the Browns at No. 27 heading into this contest. Handicapping models project a 35-19 result in favor of the Ravens.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Baltimore's No. 2-ranked offense (32.7 PPG) against a Browns defense that ranks No. 18 at 25 PPG. The Ravens passing attack has averaged 301.3 yards per game, more than the Browns give up through the air (269 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Browns own the league's No. 9-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 80 yards per game when on the road. Baltimore, on the other hand, rates No. 13 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
The Browns were a 24-14 loser in their most recent outing at home against the Bills. They failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (38) made winners of UNDER bettors. The Browns suffered a Week 3 loss against Buffalo in their last game, falling 24-14 at Cleveland Browns Stadium.
The Ravens were a 31-30 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Patriots. They failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (61) made winners of OVER bettors. In their last game, the Ravens got 3 passing scores out of Joe Flacco en route to a 31-30 win over the Patriots on Sunday at M&T Bank Stadium.
Cleveland Browns Trends:
When playing in September are 2-8
When playing on turf are 2-8
After being outgained are 1-9
When playing within the division are 0-10
Baltimore Ravens Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on turf are 8-2
After outgaining opponent are 7-3
When playing within the division are 9-1
A few Browns at Ravens trends to consider:
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cleveland's last 6 games when playing Baltimore
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cleveland's last 5 games
Cleveland is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Cleveland is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Cleveland
Baltimore is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Cleveland
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Baltimore's last 6 games when playing Cleveland
Cleveland at NY Giants, Sunday, October 7
Baltimore at Kansas City, Sunday, October 7