Cowboys vs Broncos Preview
|Denver Broncos||Dallas Cowboys|
The scoring machine that is the Denver Broncos takes its show on the road, specifically, Big D, for an interesting inter-conference match-up Sunday afternoon with the 2-2 Cowboys (4:25 pm ET, CBS).
As of early this week the 4-0 Broncos, who are averaging a ridiculous 45 PPG so far, were favored by eight points over the Pokes, who just gave up 500 yards in a loss to the Chargers. The last time Dallas was a home underdog of this size, it was Week 1 of the 2001 season and Tampa Bay came to town.
They bring a 2-2 record (3-1 ATS) to the Week 5 battle against the 4-0 Broncos, who are 3-1 ATS against the spread. Over under bettors have seen Dallas go 2-2 so far and the Broncos go 4-0.
As if those numbers weren't enough, more trends favor Broncos bettors here. Denver is 6-2 SU, 6-1-1 ATS vs the Cowboys since 1980 when the Odds Shark NFL database started tracking lines and scores.
The Broncos are also 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS in their past 8 games as a road favorite and 8-1 ATS in their past 9 vs NFC East teams. Good luck to Dallas (and their backers).
The Cowboys - Broncos odds would favor the Broncos if the lines were set according to power ranks. Dallas is rated No. 14 in our latest OddsShark poll, while the Broncos sit at No. 2. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 47-31 win for the Broncos.
The Broncos were a 52-20 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Eagles. They covered the 10-point spread as favorites, while the total score (72) made winners of OVER bettors. Last time out, Dallas got 2 scoring strikes from Tony Romo in a 30-21 loss against San Diego.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Dallas's No. 10-ranked offense, averaging 26 PPG, against a Broncos defense that ranks No. 16 this week at 22.75 PPG. The Cowboys aerial game is averaging 238.25 yards per game, less than the Broncos secondary allows through the air, 316.25 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Broncos own the league's No. 15-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 113 yards per game when on the road. Dallas, on the other hand, rates No. 7 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Broncos at Cowboys trends to consider:
Denver is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Dallas
Denver is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 6 games when playing Dallas
Denver is 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games
Dallas is 1-5-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Denver
Dallas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Denver
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games when playing Denver
Dallas is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Denver at Jacksonville, Sunday, October 13th
Dallas at Washington, Sunday, October 13th