Dolphins Falcons Betting Preview for Week 3

Atlanta Falcons Miami Dolphins
1-1 September 22, 2013, 04:05 | Sun Life Stadium 2-0

The Miami Dolphins, fresh off a pair of road wins to start the season, head home with ideas on going 3-0 when they host the 1-1 Atlanta Falcons Sunday afternoon at Sun Life Stadium (4:05 pm ET, Fox).

As of early this week the 'Fins, after beating the Browns in Cleveland and the Colts in Indy, were favored by a point over the Falcons.

Miami has failed in seven tries since 1983 to cover the spread against the Falcons (0-6-1 ATS). There are several strong UNDER trends in this game for totals bettors.

The UNDER is 13-3 the past 16 games when the Dolphins were favored (they opened as slight chalk). And the Falcons have been UNDER machines on the road in September over the years (14-4 past 18 trips).

View Atlanta Falcons vs Miami Dolphins Odds and Stats.

The visitors opened as 1.5-point underdog in this one at most sportsbooks tracked here at OddsShark (including Bovada), while the total was hovering around 44 at most shops including SportBet.

The power rankings show a disparity between these teams, with the Dolphins rated this week at No. 21 and the Falcons sitting at No. 6. It may or may not play a role in OddsShark score prediction models that turned out a 28-20 result in favor of the Dolphins this week.

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The Falcons were a 31-24 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Rams. They covered the 4-point spread as favorites, while the total score (55) made winners of OVER bettors. Ryan Tannehill's 319-yard performance through the air was enough last time out, as Miami earned a 24-20 win over Indianapolis on Sunday at Lucas Oil Stadium.

A few Falcons at Dolphins trends to consider:
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 15-5 SU in its last 20 games
Atlanta is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Miami is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Miami's last 5 games
Miami is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games at home

Next up:
Atlanta at New England, Sunday, September 29th
Miami at New Orleans, Monday, September 30th

 

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