Patriots underdogs vs. the Ravens
The New England Patriots are underdogs for the fifth time this season as they head to Baltimore to take on the surging Ravens.
Baltimore, fresh off a big road win at Detroit on Monday night, opened as a 1-point favorite at Bovada over the Patriots, who saw star tight end Rob Gronkowski go down with a season-ending knee injury last week.
These two teams met in the playoffs last season, with the Ravens winning 28-13 at New England on their way to the Super Bowl.
Sunday’s game is at Baltimore. The Patriots are just 1-7 against the spread in their last eight road games and just 1-3-1 in their last five games against the Ravens.
This season the Ravens are 8-6 overall and 7-7 ATS against the number, while the Patriots are 10-4 and 6-8 ATS. As for the totals, Baltimore is 5-8-1 on the OU, and New England is 7-7.
Sportsbooks, including Bovada, had set the Ravens as 1-point favorites on the opening line for this contest. The total was hovering around 44.5 earlier in the week (check for the current over-under lines at BetOnline).
This game matches up the No. 17 (Ravens) and the No. 10 (Patriots) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 25-22 result in favor of the Patriots is predicted by handicapping models.
In their last action, New England was a 24-20 loser on the road against the Dolphins. They failed to cover the 2.5-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (44) was profitable news for UNDER bettors. In their last game, New England's aerial attack generated 364 yards but it was the Dolphins coming away with a 24-20 victory over New England at Sun Life Stadium. The Ravens grabbed a Week 15 victory over the Lions in their last game, winning 18-16 at Ford Field.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits Baltimore's No. 25-ranked offense, averaging 21.14 PPG, against a Patriots defense that ranks No. 10 this week at 22.21 PPG. The Ravens aerial game is averaging 227 yards per game, less than the Patriots secondary allows through the air, 240.21 YPG per game.
Defensively, the Patriots feature the league's No. 19-rated road run defense, allowing 120.86 yards per game. Baltimore, meanwhile, ranks No. 31 in rushing offense at home.
A few Patriots at Ravens trends to consider:
New England is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
New England is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England's last 6 games
New England is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Baltimore is 4-2 ATS in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Baltimore is 6-3 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Baltimore is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
New England home to Buffalo, Sunday, December 29th
Baltimore at Cincinnati, Sunday, December 29th