Colts vs Chiefs Betting Odds Preview
In a rematch of a Week 16 game in Kansas City, the Chiefs will visit the Indianapolis Colts on Saturday afternoon in the playoff opener.
The game opened with the Colts as 2.5-point favorites but it had been bet back to PK by Friday. Online sportsbook Bovada reported a general swing in public betting and early sharp action as the cause of the move.
Indianapolis knocked off the Chiefs, 23-7, on Dec. 22 and ended the season with three straight wins. Quarterback Andrew Luck has emerged as one of the league’s best. He helped the Colts overcome a rash of injuries to win the AFC South.
Kansas City won its first nine games, but lost five of its last seven. Quarterback Alex Smith helped the Chiefs go 7-1 against the spread on the road. Smith and first-year coach Andy Reid will have to try to end a lengthy playoff losing streak. The Chiefs have lost seven consecutive playoff games straight-up and against the spread.
Indianapolis aims to extend its 11-3 ATS streak at home when it hosts the Kansas City Chiefs in AFC Wild Card betting action Saturday. The Colts have dominated the Chiefs over the years with a 12-2 SU, 11-3 ATS mark dating back to 1990.
Kansas City, meanwhile, which bounced back from a terrible 2012 to make the playoffs in the tough AFC West, looks for its first playoff win in nearly a quarter century. They are 0-7 SU and ATS in the playoffs since 1990.
The Chiefs were money in the bank at 7-1 ATS on the road in 2013. Can they continue that run at Indy as small underdogs (per Bovada)?
There are some UNDER trends here in this Wild Card matchup, as the Colts are 10-3 favoring the UNDER in playoffs since 2005. The past five meetings of these teams have also played UNDER.
The Colts are 11-5 so far on the season, and 10-6 ATS vs. the number. The Chiefs, meanwhile, are 11-5 and 9-7 ATS. Over/Under bettors have seen Indianapolis go 8-8 and the Chiefs go 7-9 on the totals.
The Colts sit at No. 15 in the current NFL Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Chiefs are at No. 12 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Chiefs will win this game 28-24.
In their last action, Kansas City was a 27-24 loser on the road against the Chargers. They covered the 15-point spread as underdogs, while the combined score (51) was profitable news for OVER bettors. In their latest action on Sunday at $Stadum, Knile Davis rumbled through the San Diego defense for 2 TDs in a losing cause as San Diego won 27-24. T.Y. Hilton hauled in 11 passes for 155 yards against the Jacksonville defense in the team's last game, leading Indianapolis over the Jaguars 30-10 on Sunday.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Indianapolis's No. 15-ranked offense (24.44 PPG) against a Chiefs defense that ranks No. 6 at 19.06 PPG. The Colts passing attack has averaged 232.81 yards per game, less than the Chiefs give up through the air (247.62 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Chiefs own the league's No. 29-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 145.75 yards per game when on the road. Indianapolis, on the other hand, rates No. 21 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Chiefs at Colts trends to consider:
Kansas City is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games
Kansas City is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Kansas City's last 6 games
Kansas City is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Indianapolis is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Indianapolis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Indianapolis's last 5 games
Indianapolis is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Kansas City home to , Wednesday, December 31st
Indianapolis home to , Wednesday, December 31st