Jets vs Dolphins AFC East Bet
The New York Jets are coming to town this Sunday, and that usually spells bad news for the Miami Dolphins.
The Jets are 11-3 ATS in their last 14 games against their division rival in Miami. Overall, the Jets are 15-7-3 ATS in their last seven games against the Dolphins.
They were a 3-point road favorite at Sportsbook.ag early in the week. But the Jets have struggled on the road lately at 2-8 ATS, while the Fins have been good for bettors at home (5-1 ATS past 6 in Florida).
Power Rankings / Prediction:
This game matches up the No. 18 (Dolphins) and the No. 21 (Jets) teams in the league, according to our current NFL Power Rankings at OddsShark. A 27-26 result in favor of the Jets is predicted by handicapping models.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Miami's No. 20-ranked offense (22.5 PPG) against a Jets defense that ranks No. 22 at 27.5 PPG. The Dolphins passing attack has averaged 192.5 yards per game, less than the Jets give up through the air (230 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Jets own the league's No. 6-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 66 yards per game when on the road. Miami, on the other hand, rates No. 1 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
The Jets were a 27-10 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Steelers. They failed to cover the 4.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (37) made winners of UNDER bettors. In their last game, the Jets were Week 2 losers coming out on the wrong end of 27-10 score against Pittsburgh.
Miami won its last outing, a 35-13 result against the Raiders on September 16. The Dolphins covered in that game as a 1.5-point underdog, while the 48 combined points took the game OVER the total. Last time we saw the Raiders, they had no answer for Reggie Bush as the Dolphins rolled to a 35-13 victory at Sun Life Stadium.
New York Jets Trends:
When playing in September are 7-3
When playing on grass are 3-7
After being outgained are 5-5
When playing within the division are 6-4
Miami Dolphins Trends:
When playing in September are 3-7
When playing on grass are 6-4
After outgaining opponent are 4-6
When playing within the division are 4-6
A few Jets at Dolphins trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 16 of the NY Jets last 21 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of the NY Jets last 6 games on the road
NY Jets are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Miami
The total has gone OVER in 16 of the NY Jets last 24 games
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 13 of Miami's last 17 games
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games at home
Miami is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Jets
NY Jets home to San Francisco, Sunday, September 30
Miami at Arizona, Sunday, September 30