A week ago, the computer predicted an 11-3 ATS rout for the chalk and a one-sided week for the betting public.
What actually happened? A 10-4 ATS run for favorites and the best week in more than a decade for NFL bettors, as they turned a monster profit at the expense of sportsbooks. [ See last week’s prediction article ]
What usually happens the week after the sportsbooks get pounded? The point spreads usually come in a little higher than usual, as oddsmakers know that those bettors who cleaned up last week will be back looking for more.
And the result is three games with double-digit favorites (San Francisco, New England and Pittsburgh). There are also three games where the spread opened as a PK or -1.
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What does it all mean for the NFL scores prediction computer here at Odds Shark? It means, after consecutive winning weeks, the computer is looking to turn another profit in Week 10. It was 8-6 ATS last week, while picking 10 of 14 winners straight up.
It also means bad news for the sportsbooks and good news for NFL bettors who love favorites. All three of those huge favorites are predicted to win easily, which would be a nightmare situation for sportsbooks, as they would likely suffer with many losses in parlays and teasers as well.
The machine picks the Colts to continue their winning ways with a 17-9 win at Jacksonville and it picks the Bears to beat Houston in a barnburner, 37-35, in the other game that opened as PK.
The Eagles will lose again, the Giants will rebound and Atlanta will remain perfect with a road win in New Orleans.
And the Monday Nighter will be a one-sided Steelers win, 26-9, over the Chiefs.
Check out the Week 10 NFL picks courtesy of the Odds Shark prediction computer below.
Indianapolis 17.4 Jacksonville 8.7 PK IND 42.5 U
NY Giants 32.6 Cincinnati 21.3 6 NYG 48.5 O
Detroit 23.5 Minnesota 23.8 -2.5 DET 47 O
Tennessee 9.6 Miami 26.2 -4.5 MIA 44 U
San Diego 27 Tampa Bay 28.7 -2.5 SD 48 O
Buffalo 18.4 New England 38.4 -9.5 NE 51 O
Denver 30.6 Carolina 19.2 3 DEN 48.5 O
Atlanta 34.9 New Orleans 23.9 +1 ATL 53.5 O
Oakland 17 Baltimore 27.1 -7.5 BAL 46 U
NY Jets 16.5 Seattle 22.3 -5.5 SEA 38.5 O
St. Louis 13.1 San Francisco 30 -11 SF 38 O
Dallas 16.3 Philadelphia 14 -1 DAL 45 U
Houston 35.3 Chicago 37.3 PK CHI 43 O
Monday Night Football Betting
Kansas City 9.4 Pittsburgh 26.1 -11.5 PIT 43 U