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Chestnut a Massive Favorite to win 2017 Nathan’s Hot Dog Eating Contest

The New England Patriots erasing a 28-3 deficit in Super Bowl LI and the Cleveland Cavaliers winning the NBA Finals after being down three games to one are two examples of big sports comebacks that come to mind, but another recent story that often goes overlooked is the redemption of Joey Chestnut in 2016. After being dethroned by Matt Stonie in 2015, many thought Chestnut was past his prime, but ‘Jaws’ was able to persevere, downing 70 wieners on his way to winning the coveted mustard-colored belt for a ninth time.

Chestnut will be back to defend his title, and months away from the annual July 4 contest he opened at -505 vs the field. That is a far cry from where he opened for last year’s contest at +130, but it’s clear from his No. 1 eater ranking by the Major League Eating organization that he’s once again the man to beat. After his 2015 loss in the contest, he was dismissed by many, but the upset loss can likely be linked to a broken heart as Chestnut’s engagement was broken off earlier that year.

After recovering from the broken engagement, the 33-year-old appears to still be well into his prime, as he followed up his Nathan’s victory by winning his third consecutive United States Chicken Wing Eating Championship in September. Chestnut demolished 188 wings in 12 minutes and followed that up in October when he ate 2.25 gallons of chili in six minutes. He’s not just restricted to appetizers and main courses, though, as he downed 14.5 pounds of boysenberry pie last March.

Lurking in the shadows is 2015’s winner, Matt Stonie, who despite his loss to Chestnut went on to accomplish some impressive eating feats. Notably, he was able to finish 85 moon pies in eight minutes in October, setting the world record. 

In head-to-head eating odds, Chestnut is a -450 favorite over Stonie, which seems like a fair line considering he demolished him by 17 dogs in last year’s contest.

Also available to wager on is an OVER/UNDER number of 71.5 hot dogs eaten by the winner, which comes in at -150 for the OVER. Chestnut owns the record of 73.5 hot dogs, which he earned in a Nathan’s qualifying event in 2016. This fact along with Chestnut’s proven ability to rise to the occasion makes the OVER a great value bet.

Lines have also hit the board for the women’s competition and three-time defending champion Miki Sudo is a -450 favorite over her closest competition, Sonya Thomas, who comes back at +275. Sudo is the No. 1-ranked women’s competitive eater, but Thomas set a record for women in the event in 2012 when she ate 45 dogs.

An OVER/UNDER number of 39.5 hot dogs has been set for the women’s competition. Thomas’ record-setting 2012 event was the last time a woman surpassed 40 dogs.

All odds courtesy of Bovada.

Men's Championship | Head-to-Head winner
  • Joey Chestnut -450
  • Matt Stonie +275
Men's Championship | Head-to-Head winner
  • Carmen Cincotti -350
  • Geoffrey Esper +225
Men's Championship | Total hot dogs eaten by winner
  • OVER 63.5 -650
  • UNDER 63.5 +375
Men's Championship | Total hot dogs eaten by winner
  • OVER 65.5 -500
  • UNDER 65.5 +300
Men's Championship | Total hot dogs eaten by winner
  • OVER 67.5 -370
  • UNDER 67.5 +235
Men's Championship | Total hot dogs eaten by winner
  • OVER 69.5 -280
  • UNDER 69.5 +185
Men's Championship | Total hot dogs eaten by winner
  • OVER 71.5 -150
  • UNDER 71.5 +110
Special - Total Hot dogs Eaten By Joey ChesTnut Within First Minute
  • OVER 12.5 -120
  • UNDER 12.5 -120
Special - Total Hot dogs Eaten By Joey ChesTnut At Halfway Mark
  • OVER 46 -110
  • UNDER 46 -130
Special - Total Hot dogs Eaten By Matt Stonie Within First Minute
  • OVER 9.0 -140
  • UNDER 9.0 EVEN
Special - Total Hot dogs Eaten By Matt Stonie At Halfway Mark
  • OVER 36.5 -140
  • UNDER 36.5 EVEN
Women's Championship | Head-to-Head winner
  • Miki Sudo -450
  • Sonya Thomas +275
Women's Championship | Total hot dogs eaten by winner
  • OVER 39.5 +120
  • UNDER 39.5 -160
Special - Will a contestant be interrupted by PETA during the contest?
  • Yes +500
  • No -900
Special - Will there be an eat-off?
  • Yes (Eat-off) +750
  • No (Winner Determined in 10 minutes) -2000

Archived Articles

Editor's Note - To commemorate the 100th Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest, OddsShark held a hot dog eating contest between two staff members. Although they didn't quite show the potential to begin competing on the pro eating circuit, their hearts and the true spirit of sportsmanship were on display. See the video above.

UPDATE - The line has taken a dramatic swing after news broke that Joey Chestnut demolished 73 1/2 hot dogs in 10 minutes, breaking his previous record by four in a warm-up to the Nathan's contest! Chestnut is now the favorite.

The Nathan’s Famous International Hot Dog Eating Contest is the premier event in competitive eating and this is a landmark year. The 100th edition of the event will take place, as always, on July 4 and the spotlight will be on the biggest rivalry in the history of competitive eating.

Matt Stonie, the Steph Curry of the competitive eating world, will look to go back-to-back after ending the eight-year reign of Joey Chestnut, who I guess in this scenario is the LeBron James of competitive eating. In last year’s contest, Stonie narrowly edged out Chestnut, downing 62 dogs to Chestnut’s 60. Online sportsbook Bovada has Stonie as a +115 underdog, with Chestnut coming back at -155.

Chestnut, who’s currently ranked second in the world by the MLE (Major League Eating), set the record for the event when he engulfed 69 wieners in the 2013 contest.

Not only is Stonie the top-ranked competitive eater in MLE, he’s also the youngest. At just 130 pounds, he currently holds 18 competitive eating records. In 2015, he notably consumed 241 Hooters chicken wings in 10 minutes, and a few months later he ate 25 Big Macs in 22 minutes.

Check back regularly for odds movement.

Men's Championship - Head to Head winner

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

  • Matt Stonie +115
  • Joey Chestnut  -155
Men's Championship | Total hot dogs eaten by winner

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

  • Over 63½  -350
  • Under 63½  +225

On the women’s side, two-time returning champion Miki Sudo is a -350 favorite over her top competition, Sonya Thomas, who comes back at +225.

Sudo improved on her 2014 mark of 24 dogs in last year’s contest when she devoured 38. Thomas won the event the three previous years with a top mark of 45 in 2012. Sudo is currently the top-ranked woman in the world, while Thomas is second.

Women's Championship  - Head to Head winner

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

  • Miki Sudo -350
  • Sonya Thomas +225
Women's Championship | Total hot dogs eaten by winner

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

  • Over 39½  -160
  • Under 39½  +120

Archived Articles

After getting upset by Matt Stonie at the 2015 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest can Joey Chestnut rebound with a victory in 2016? Check out the early odds to win the 2016 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest at online sportsbook Bovada, with Stonie and Chestnut opening as the -120 co-favorites for next year's Fourth of July competitive eating event.

Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2016 - Head to Head Matchup

Odds as of July 5 at Bovada

  • Joey Chestnut -120
  • Matt Stonie -120
Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2016 - Head to Head Matchup

Odds as of July 5 at Bovada

  • Joey Chestnut +2 (-140)
  • Matt Stonie -2 (EVEN)
Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2016 - Head to Head Matchup

Odds as of July 5 at Bovada

  • Miki Sudo -175
  • Sonya Thomas +135
Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2016 - Head to Head Matchup

Odds as of July 5 at Bovada

  • Miki Sudo -5 (-120)
  • Sonya Thomas +5 (-120)
Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2016 - How many hot dogs will Joey Chestnut eat?

Odds as of July 5 at Bovada

  • Over 63½ -120
  • Under 63½ -120
Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2016 - How many hot dogs will Matt Stonie eat?

Odds as of July 5 at Bovada

  • Over 63½ -120
  • Under 63½ -120
Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2016 - How many hot dogs will Miki Sudo eat?

Odds as of July 5 at Bovada

  • Over 36½ -130
  • Under 36½ -110

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Legendary competitive eating champion Joey Chestnut won the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest for the eighth consecutive time last year, but he also failed to top his recent performances in that victory with 'only' 61 hot dogs consumed at the holiday competition.

How will Chestnut perform on the Fourth of July at Coney Island this year? The betting odds at online sportsbook Bovada have his OVER/UNDER for hot dogs eaten pegged at 65.5 for Saturday's event, with the OVER and the UNDER both listed at odds of -120.

Chestnut first won the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest back in 2007 with 66 hot dogs eaten, then ate 59, 68, 54, 62, and 68 hot dogs before setting the current record with 69 eaten in 2013. Chestnut beat second-place finisher Matt Stonie 61-59 last year.

Chestnut is also listed as the heavy -900 favorite at Bovada to win the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest on Saturday, with Any Other Eater the +500 underdog. As well, the OVER/UNDER for hot dogs eaten by the female winner is set at 37.5 for the event.

Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest 2015 Winner

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

  • Joey Chestnut -900
  • Any other eater +500
How many hot dogs will Joey Chestnut eat?

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

  • Over 65.5 -120
  • Under 65.5 -120
How many hot dogs will the female winner eat?

Odds as of July 4 at Bovada

  • Over 37½ -150
  • Under 37½ EVEN

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Joey Chestnut topped himself once again at the Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest last year, and the sportsbooks have him pegged as the chalk at the Fourth of July event.

At Bovada Chestnut is listed as the -1200 favorite on the odds to win the Hot Dog Eating Contest on Friday, after he set a new record with 69 in 10 minutes last year. Chestnut consumed 68 hot dogs when he won the Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest in 2012, 62 back in 2011, 54 in 2010, 68 in 2009, 59 in 2008, and 66 in 2007.

Matt Stonie, who finished second with 51 hot dogs eaten at the competition last year, is set as a +900 underdog for Friday, with 'Any Other Eater' at +700 odds. Think Chestnut will break or approach his record? At Bovada his OVER/UNDER for hot dogs eaten on Friday is set at 67.5.

2014 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest - Odds to Win
Joey Chestnut -1200 (1/12)
Matt Stonie +900 (9/1)
Any Other Eater +700 (7/1)

2014 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest - Total Hot Dogs Eaten By Winner
Over/Under  67.5

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True to his word, Joey Chestnut proved to be top dog in the 2013 Nathan's Hot Dog contest. And after tweeting Wednesday night to OddsShark.com that the betting line of 63.5 was low, he hinted that the OVER 63.5 was a 'safe bet.' Indeed, he won the contest Thursday afternoon in New York, guzzling 69 hot dogs in 10 minutes to win the July 4 event for the seventh straight time.

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Joey Chestnut is once again pegged as the huge favorite at the sportsbooks to win the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest at Coney Island on the Fourth of July.

Chestnut won the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest for the first time in 2007 with 66 hot dogs eaten, and he managed to repeat that victory in 2008 (59 hot dogs eaten), 2009 (68), 2010 (54), 2011 (62), and 2012 (68).

Update: Chestnut has tweeted to OddsShark.com that 'the over is safe bet' - Follow Twitter

Tim Janus finished a distant second to Chestnut with 52 hot dogs eaten last year, while Patrick Bertoletti was third with 51 hot dogs eaten. That has Chestnut listed as the big -1000 favorite on the Bovada odds to win the competition again this year, with 'Any Other Eater' set as the +600 underdog.

As well, the OVER/UNDER for total hot dogs eaten by the winner in the 10 minutes of the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest on the Fourth of July is listed at 63.5 at Bovada, with Chestnut having tied his previous record with 68 hot dogs eaten last year.

2013 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest - Odds to Win
Joey Chestnut -1000
Any Other Eater +600

2013 Nathan's Famous Hot Dog Eating Contest - Hot Dogs Eaten by Winner
Over/Under 63.5

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Joey Chestnut has claimed the Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest at Coney Island on the Fourth of July every year since 2007, and he's the favorite on the odds at the sportsbooks to win the event once again this year.

Chestnut consumed 62 hot dogs in just 10 minutes to win the competition in 2011; that was more than his 2010 mark of 54 hot dogs, but less than his record-setting number of 68 from 2009. Chestnut ate 59 hot dogs in 2008, and 66 back in 2007.

Pat “Deep Dish” Bertoletti finished second to Chestnut with 53 hot dogs eaten last year, while six-time Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest champion Takeru Kobayashi sat out for the second year in a row with a contract dispute.

For this year, Chestnut is the -800 favorite at Bovada over The Field (+500) to win his sixth straight title at Coney Island, and his OVER/UNDER for total hot dogs eaten sits at 62.5.

Bertoletti has an OVER/UNDER of 53.5 hot dogs eaten for the Fourth of July event, with the OVER/UNDER on the margin of victory for the contest set at 10 hot dogs for this year.

Over in the women's competition, Sonya Thomas has an OVER/UNDER of 40.5 hot dogs eaten at Bovada; she won the inaugural women's event at Coney Island last year with a mark of 40. Juliet Lee was second with 29.5 hot dogs eaten in 2011.

2012 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest - Bovada Odds
Joey Chestnut -800
Field +500

2012 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest - Margin of Victory
Over/Under 10

Total Hot Dogs Eaten by Joey Chestnut
Over/Under 62.5

Total Hot Dogs Eaten by Pat "Deep Dish" Bertoletti
Over/Under 53.5

Total Hot Dogs Eaten by Sonya Thomas
Over/Under 40.5

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