The Golden State Warriors are 2-0 SU against the Dallas Mavericks so far this season as those Western Conference teams prepare for their third matchup of the campaign on Saturday night.
The Warriors beat the Mavericks 105-101 as a 5-point road underdog and 100-97 as a 4-point home favorite in the first two meetings of the season between the two teams. Those games were split at 1-1 on the OVER/UNDER for totals bettors at the books.
(Note: follow us on Twitter for line updates and injuries news). The Mavericks currently sports a record of 21-28, and have posted a corresponding betting slate of 28-21 ATS. The Warriors are 30-20 and 27-21-2 ATS. Betting totals have seen the Mavericks post a 30-18-1 OVER/UNDER record this season, while the Warriors have gone 32-18 against the number.
For bettors going with the Mavericks in this one, they were listed earlier as 3.5-point favorites on the betting line at . Totals bettors have seen that number set at 210.5 for Monday at shops such as 5Dimes.
Power Rankings / Prediction:
The Mavericks - Warriors odds would favor the Warriors if the lines were set according to power ranks. Dallas is rated No. 21 in our latest Odds Shark poll, while the Warriors sit at No. 4. Math models based on recent stats and predictive formulas point to a 102-99 win for the Warriors.
How They Match Up:
In rebounding, the battle of the boards features Dallas's No. 14-rated squad against Golden State's No. 4-rated roster. When it comes to long-range shooting, Dallas rates No. 13 in the league with 7 per game, while their foes tonight rank No. 8 with 7.8 per outing.
Defensively, the Warriors feature the league's No. 26-rated defense on the road, giving up 103.9 points per game. Dallas, meanwhile, comes in at No. 6 in the league in scoring at home.
The Warriors were a 99-93 loser in their most recent outing on the road against the Grizzlies. They failed to cover the 3.5-point spread as underdogs, while the total score (192) made winners of OVER bettors. The Warriors got a terrific 32-point performance from Stephen Curry but Memphis handed them a 99-93 defeat on Friday at FedExForum.
The Mavericks were a 105-99 winner in their most recent outing at home against the Trail Blazers. They covered the 5.5-point spread as favorites, while the total score (204) made winners of OVER bettors. O.J. Mayo scored 28 points for Dallas on Wednesday, leading the Mavericks to a 105-99 victory over Portland at American Airlines Center.
Golden State Warriors Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing Houston are 3-7
After playing Memphis are 9-1
After a loss are 4-6
Dallas Mavericks Trends:
When playing on Saturday are 4-6
Before playing Atlanta are 6-4
After playing Portland are 5-5
After a win are 3-7
A few Warriors at Mavericks trends to consider:
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Golden State's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Golden State's last 9 games
Golden State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Dallas
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Golden State's last 6 games when playing on the road against Dallas
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Dallas's last 6 games at home
Dallas is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games when playing at home against Golden State
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Dallas's last 9 games
Dallas is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Golden State home to Houston, Tuesday, February 12
Dallas home to Atlanta, Monday, February 11