San Diego St vs New Mexico St pick
New Mexico State will be looking to end its 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS run at the NCAA Tournament on Thursday as they face fourth-seeded San Diego as an underdog in West Region action.
The Aztecs were favored by as much as 7 points according to BetOnline while the total was creeping downwards in this battle of defensive teams. Some trends to consider in making this wager (or bracket pick) the UNDER is 13-5 past 18 SD State games; SD State 7-1 SU, 6-2 ATS past eight games as favorites; New Mexico State ended season on 9-1 SU run; New Mexico State is 0-5 SU, 1-4 ATS in tourney since 1999; Aggies have played four straight tournament UNDERs.
Odds Shark Computer Pick - 73.7-70.3 Aztecs
The Aggies will try to spoil to the party on Thursday; they are 8-5 ATS against the number this season, while the Aztecs are 18-12 ATS. New Mexico State is 3-8 on the totals; San Diego State is 7-23.
This game puts the Aztecs, most recently No. 9 in the Odds Shark power rankings, up against the Aggies, who rate No. 101 in the latest survey.
New Mexico State was a 77-55 winner in its last match at home against Idaho. They covered the 9.5-point spread as favorites. The Aggies blew out Idaho on Saturday, running up a 20+ point victory in a 77-55 win at Orleans Arena.
San Diego State was a 64-58 loser in its last match at home against New Mexico. They failed to cover the 1-point spread as favorites. San Diego State suffered a 64-58 loss against New Mexico on Saturday, getting 15 points from Xavier Thames in a losing effort at Thomas & Mack Center.
How They Match Up:
Rating these schools in several key categories is important for handicappers and San Diego State has the nation's No. 148-rated offensive output, at 70.61 PPG. The visiting Aggies defense ranks No. 72 allowing on average 66.91 PPG. The Aztecs FG% has averaged 43.74% so far, less than the Aggies marksmen have achieved on the year, 49.11% per game.
A few Aggies at Aztecs trends to consider:
New Mexico State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego State is 5-2 ATS in its last 7 games
San Diego State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Diego State's last 5 games