Betting line favors Ducks over Wildcats
|Oregon Ducks||Arizona Wildcats|
Oregon had its Pac-12 title hopes revitalized by Stanford’s loss last week to USC. Now, the Ducks head to Arizona as 17.5-point favorites.
The Wildcats own a potent running attack behind RB Ka’Deem Carey. They’ll need Carey to have a big game to help Arizona keep the ball away from Oregon’s prolific offense.
The Ducks are averaging 50.9 points and have been held under 40 only once, in the 26-20 loss to Stanford.
Oregon has beaten Arizona in seven of the last eight meeting, including last season’s 56-31 road win. Since 1995, the record is even more one-sided (14-3 SU according to our NCAA database). But beware Arizona and their 13-3-1 ATS run in 17 as home underdogs since 2004.
The Wildcats have covered the spread in eight of their last 10 games as home underdogs.
This season the Wildcats are 6-4 overall and 4-5-1 ATS against the number, while the Ducks are 8-1 and 7-2 ATS. As for the totals, Arizona is 3-7 on the OU, and Oregon is 5-4.
It's a betting matchup between the No. 46-rated Wildcats and the No. 4-ranked Ducks, according to the NCAAF Power Rankings here at Odds Shark. Predictive-scoring models run on this game indicate a potential 59-39 result in favor of the Ducks.
Ka'Deem Carey went over the 100-yard mark (132) in his team's latest effort, but Washington State still defeated Arizona by a score of 24-17.
How They Match Up:
Offensively, the game matches up Arizona's No. 45-ranked offense (33 PPG) against a Ducks defense that ranks No. 8 at 18.2 PPG. The Wildcats passing attack has averaged 188.8 yards per game, less than the Ducks give up through the air (211.1 YPG on average).
In comparing defenses, the Ducks own the league's No. 57-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 171.5 yards per game when on the road. Arizona, on the other hand, rates No. 22 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Ducks at Wildcats trends to consider:
Oregon is 14-4 ATS in its last 18 games
Oregon is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games
Oregon is 7-1 ATS in its last 8 games on the road
Oregon is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games on the road
Arizona is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Arizona's last 5 games
Arizona is 2-5-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Arizona is 11-4 SU in its last 15 games at home
Oregon home to Oregon State, Friday, November 29th
Arizona at Arizona State, Saturday, November 30th