Sun Devils on road against the Bruins
Arizona State is a small road favorite over UCLA in a huge game in the Pac-12 South.
The Sun Devils opened as 2-point favorites, but the line up to -3 entering the week.
The Bruins beat the Sun Devils in a 45-43 thriller last season and have won three of four against Arizona State.
The Sun Devils have bounced back from consecutive losses to Stanford and Oregon in October with three straight wins. They’re averaging 42.3 points, behind quarterback Taylor Kelly.
The Bruins feature an extremely balanced attack, led by quarterback Brett Hundley. Running back Myles Jack, who also plays linebacker, has sparked the UCLA ground game. He scored four touchdowns in last week’s win over Washington.
The Bruins have covered the spread in four of their last five games as home underdogs. Despite what the Odds Shark computer says (40-36 for ASU), UCLA is a threat to continue is 8-2 ATS run of domination against the Sun Devils.
UCLA is 5-0 ATS past five at home to Sun Devils, but Arizona State is 11-2 SU in 13 recent games as road favorites. UCLA is 7-3 ATS past 10 games as home underdogs.
The Bruins sit at No. 20 in the current NCAAF Power Rankings here at OddsShark, while the Sun Devils are at No. 8 on that chart. Math models have concluded that the Sun Devils will win this game 40-36.
Last time out for Arizona State, they were a 30-17 winner as they battled Oregon State at home. Arizona State failed to cover in the match as a 13.5-point favorite, while 47 combined points moved the game UNDER for totals bettors. In their last game, the Bruins were Week 12 winners, coming out on top of the Huskies by a score of 41-31.
How They Match Up:
The game also pits UCLA's No. 23-ranked offense, averaging 37 PPG, against a Sun Devils defense that ranks No. 45 this week at 24.4 PPG. The Bruins aerial game is averaging 255.8 yards per game, more than the Sun Devils secondary allows through the air, 217.8 YPG per game.
In comparing defenses, the Sun Devils own the league's No. 23-rated front 7 in terms of stopping the run, allowing 128.25 yards per game when on the road. UCLA, on the other hand, rates No. 38 this week in generating rushing yards at home.
A few Sun Devils at Bruins trends to consider:
Arizona State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 9 of Arizona State's last 12 games
Arizona State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games on the road
Arizona State is 8-17 SU in its last 25 games on the road
UCLA is 7-3 ATS in its last 10 games
UCLA is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of UCLA's last 7 games
UCLA is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Arizona State home to Arizona, Saturday, November 30th
UCLA at Southern Cal, Saturday, November 30th